After the hottest ever El Nino year with relentless propaganda on Australian media, even a loaded survey finds that only 39% of Australians agree that humans are the major drivers of the climate. The survey is being painted as a success by obedient “journalists”. But this is not skyrocketing support, it’s more likely last gasp noise. The results will be down again next year (with the weather).
It is yet another meaningless motherhood survey that avoids asking real questions, offers unbalanced answers, and uses the same ambiguous language as most of these pointless surveys do. Would you like apple-pie?
Who doesn’t want nicer weather — and for free?
The questions climate fans are too scared to ask
Obviously The Climate Institute don’t want real answers, which they must know would be devastating. They won’t ask how much people want to pay out their own pocket to fix the climate. They won’t ask people to rank “climate change” against all the other issues they care about. They won’t ask people if Climate Change is a scam, a con, or a scheme to make the green industry rich (a year ago a US poll showed 31% were happy to call climate change a “total hoax“). Things don’t get more skeptical than that, but if surveyors don’t ask, they’ll never know.
These surveys never ask if the public thinks windmills will slow storms or make floods less likely. There is a good reason for that…
The ugly truth — for the public it’s not important, and they don’t want to pay
Real surveys show that only 3% of US people think climate is most important issue. When it comes to funding, almost half, 42%, of US adults don’t even want to pay a paltry, pathetic, $12 a year to stop climate change. Likewise 80% of Australians don’t donate to environmental causes or vote for it, only12% of Australians want to pay two dollars to offset their Jetstar flight (and it’s less for Qantas). The truth is the public can recite the permitted lines, but any survey that digs below the superficial “bumper sticker” level finds the public are jaded, don’t want to cough up anything themselves and rank everything else as more important.
The results are the same all over the western world. Even after a heavy loaded survey lists climate disasters, half of Brits don’t want to pay a cent. When asked almost the same question, (is it mostly human driven?) 56% of Canadians are skeptics. When the Swiss were asked if they should change their VAT to a carbon tax 92% of the Swiss said “No Thanks“. It was sold to them as “paying less tax” overall and saving the world, but almost everyone in Switzerland thought it was a dumb idea. That wasn’t a poll, it was a referendum.
Gullible journalists and poorly trained science communicators
The unequivocal acceptance of loaded weak surveys says a lot about journalistic and academic standards. The Climate Institute is a group whose whole existence depends convincing people that we should be alarmed about the climate. Poor Fergus Hunter of the SMH is supposedly “a breaking news reporter for Fairfax Media in the federal press gallery at Parliament House”. But he swallows the press release entirely, asking no hard questions and doing no research. Likewise The Conversation runs with the agitprop — James Whitmore, Editor at The Conversation does no analysis and provides no balance. Pravda would be proud. In an academic wasteland, Will Grant is paid at the ANU to lecture in the public awareness of science but apparently hasn’t done so much as a 2 second google search on climate surveys, nor has he been taught how to write surveys. Shame, but that’s what government funding gets you. Parrots.
Climate change is a dead issue for voters
Both sides of politics know that climate change is a dead dog electorally. Tom Steyer threw $74 million into a campaign to convince voters to be very afraid in the 2014 midterm elections. Nearly all of Steyers favourite climate candidates failed. Hillary Clinton only talks climate when she wants to appeal to the Bernie Sanders set. With Trumps outrageous “climate denial”, she has the perfect opportunity to appeal to the supposed skyrocking masses of “concerned voters” but she couldn’t even be bothered trying it on with the Millennial voters.
For the mainstream voters, climate issues get hidden so the electorate won’t cane them. The only passion in the electorate is for blood oaths to get rid of carbon taxes.
How loaded are these questions?
“I think that climate change is occurring” — even skeptics like me would say “yes” to this – yet 23% of Australians didn’t agree.
In a landscape of trite questions, 75% of Australians might think that governments in Australia “need to implement a plan to ensure the orderly closure of old coal plants and replace them with clean energy.” But what’s the alternative, that governments shouldn’t plan? Making plans with someone else’s money is a tooth fairy kind of commitment. It’s amazing that a quarter of Australians don’t even think the Government should implement a plan.
And glory be, only 3% of people say “coal is their preferred energy source” but for virtually every Australian 73% of their electricity is created with coal. They are all free to go off-grid and be totally renewable. Almost no one does it. Why not ask Australian’s if they’d like to pay 10c a KWhr for electricity from coal (which wholesales at 3 or 4 c).
God forbid, 90% would suddenly have a different preference.
The Report “Climate of the Nation 2016”.
h/t David B.
Who in their right mind would want cheap reliable electricity from coal generation when they can have unreliable expensive renewables ?
Actually me and anyone else that doesn’t live in the inner cities I suppose .
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“Who in their right mind…?“.
Well, somebody called Barry Gardiner has suddenly decided he wants to outlaw fracking in the UK, because of its effect on the unicorn population. He thinks we should be abandoning fossil fuels altogether and heading, as fast as our solar-powered cars will carry us, for “renewables”.
Gardiner is the Shadow Energy Secretary, meaning that, if Labour were in power, his barking mad notion would be government policy. Mind you, if Labour ever wins power again, the place will look like North Korea and the absence of electricity will hardly be noticed by the fifty-nine million in the Gulag.
So… “Who in their right mind…?”
Nobody, that I can think of.
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Meanwhile, in a parallel universe, 100% devoid of common sense :
http://www.canberratimes.com.au/environment/todays-greenhouse-gas-levels-could-result-in-up-to-7-degrees-of-warming-20160926-grojp8.html
“The longest continuous reconstruction of the Earth’s surface climate suggests that current greenhouse gas levels could commit the planet to as much as 7 degrees of warming in the next 1000 years.
The study, Evolution of global temperature over the past 2 million years, was conducted by Stanford University then doctoral student Carolyn Snyder, and marks the longest continuous reconstruction of the Earth’s surface climate to date.
It comes as a national poll found public support for federal government-led action on climate change has bounced back, with increased support for renewable energy production.
The Climate Institute’s Climate of the Nation poll found 65 per cent of Australians want their country to lead the world on climate change solutions, a marked increase since the time of divisive debates about the Gillard government’s carbon tax.
Published in a report for the journal Nature, the study revealed that global temperatures were cooling until around 1.2 million years ago, before stalling until the present.
“This research was in response to a fair amount of great paleo-climate records that had been produced by a variety of researchers over long periods of time, but increasingly people were using different approximations for global temperature,” she said.
“We didn’t have a global temperature record that we could compare, so there seemed to be this gap.”
Previously global average surface temperature has only been reconstructed for isolated periods, like the past 20,000 years.
However Dr Snyder’s research applied a network of more than 20,000 sea surface temperature reconstructions from 59 ocean sediment cores, in order to recreate temperatures at 1,000-year intervals for the past two million years.
“One of the mysteries in the earth’s past, is what the trigger was when the earth went in and out of ice ages and warmer periods like we have today,” she said.
“What we’ve seen in the past is that in cold periods ice sheets expanded and they had an effect on the reflectivity of the earth’s surface that made the earth get colder.”
In contrast, she said, warmer climate states meant “less sea ice, more ocean water and varied ocean dynamics, which would in turn cause changes in the earth’s temperature, because less would be reflected off the earth’s surface”.
“This study is not a forecast or a prediction, but it gives a ballpark context to the relationship between greenhouse gas levels and temperatures in the past … to give as robust a picture that we can of the earth’s dynamic.”
Still laughing…..
[Thanks, Posted. h/t to you and Analitik and Colin, David B (via email). – Jo]
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How does that work, then?
41
Andrew Glikson, Earth and paleo-climate scientist at the Australian National University, at The Conversation has already been able to extrapolate off this new study to state that because of the greater feedback sensitivity revealed by this paper and the fact that CO2 “levels are currently rising at around 3ppm each year, a rate unprecedented in 55 million years“, a
Quick work to keep driving the hysteria, given that the Snyder paper was only published today!
https://theconversation.com/current-emissions-could-already-warm-world-to-dangerous-levels-study-66040
20
“Good work, Comrade Stakhanov! Have a new grant!”
10
State & Federal Government love the rising electricity rip off….. Indirect taxes are much easier to impose than actual tax increases.
They try to justify the increasing electricity/carbon tax by scaring the shit out of our less informed & gullible part of the electorate.
31
Love this one in the SMH, under the picture of a cyclone.
The future of storms
Scientists disagree over whether climate change is altering individual hurricanes and typhoons, but while It is impossible to know whether global warming had an impact on any one storm, researchers do see a trend. (Video courtesy New York Times)
But, but, but – they didn’t say which way the trend was going! Talk about deceptive!
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As the Security man standing outside the bank said this morning “it’s been a terrible year, it’s getting hotter, and colder and far too wet”.
Small still voice (mine) “What can we do about it?”
“Pah! Nothing! It’s natural”.
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So people actually believe they know the ins and outs of every storm that’s occurred on Earth the past 4.5 billion years to make accurate assertions about current events.
What arrogance!
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No it is my patent “Brain-up Tonic Elixir, wot I gave out for free, to all of the University staff. Full of natural ‘erbs it is: Stuff like magic mushrooms, and mandrake root.
41
The weather has been strange lately,but not as strange as its gonna get. Followed by demonic laughing. I’ll call them out as brain dead fools.( or tools) Mini-cyclones and tornadoes are to get much much bigger.Its a bit like the Gauls of old who lived in fear that the sky would fall in.
12
According to the Climate Institute 77% of people think that the climate is changing (I am one) but only 39% of them think that man is to blame. So, ummm, 39% of 77% is – 30% of our population – thinks that we are to blame and should take action, after they have finished their cafe latte and taken their labradoodle around the block, of course.
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I’ve just discovered that there is someone out there, in the media, even the ABC, who understands how surveys are rigged.
The bit I like particularly is:
“Surveys do not simply identify a rock-solid public opinion; they explore, with the potential to distort through questions asked. Essential chose not to present respondents with a range of options on Muslim immigration. Rather, it was a yes/no choice:
Would you support or oppose a ban on Muslim immigration to Australia?”
Pity they don’t apply such knowledge to the climate “debate”.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-09-27/beware-survey-that-found-1-in-2-favour-muslim-immigration-ban/7880526
Cheers,
Dave B
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…because they damn well know both intuitively and experientially that it is not the hottest year evah, as they damn well know this mantra translates into one thing, pretending that government edict and dank searching eco-fingers that rip-off their hard earned cash can change the weather.
So, when people talk about ‘climate change‘ first ask them what they’re talking about, how they define it. It’s the perfect arrest for eco-confabulation. If they have the nous to say UN, ask them which of the four UN definitions they’re using.
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Your comment is awaiting moderation.
Ehh? Why?
[Don’t know. Sometimes I think the filter sees a combination of letters in separate words that matches one of the bad words. Otherwise chock it up to goofy computer errors.] ED
31
Maybe it is also because the “experts” are almost never experts in the requisite field of endeavour, and people are not quite as stupid as we would like to sometimes believe?
Sadly I also think it is because it’s now a popular to treat actual experts in any slightly controversial fields with suspicion (or skew the article to make it seem like a controversial subject), while amplifying the noise generated by ignorant regressive activists – all in the name of ‘balance’.
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Malcolm Roberts, who is actively disagreeing with experts, is meeting with CSIRO, possibly today(?), after one cancelled meeting.
http://www.smh.com.au/queensland/-grog2t.html
Cheers,
Dave B
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Malcolm Roberts probably does need any help. However I think it would be better if more people were there (as witnesses), including Greg Hunt in person. Is he still Environment minister? I thought he had been mover on.
10
At the very TOP of the questionnaire this statement:
“Please answer the following questions to see if you fall into the category of
respondent we need to interview.”
What the heck?
So does this mean that if you fail on the first few questions and don’t “toe the line” they bin your survey results?
Sounds a bit RIGGED to me – but what would I know – I’m a climate change believer and also a skeptic that man is an overriding cause.
Cheers,
202
No. That is standard procedure. If they don’t want to skew results with too many people from one demographic they will just say no thanks and stop asking questions.
31
Interestingly, when a survey doesn’t give the results the PC Brigade want, then they immediately begin to question the validity of the survey and its methodology:
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-09-27/beware-survey-that-found-1-in-2-favour-muslim-immigration-ban/7880526?section=analysis
If only such scepticism were applied to the truckloads of horse excrement some alien’s ABC normally shovels down our throats about CAGW.
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‘Bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef this year seems to have increased concern over climate change’s impact on the reef, up from 75% in 2014 to 82% in the new survey.’
The Conversation
—–
Yeah, that was a highly successful propaganda campaign.
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And what if 100% said it was completely man-made? Public sentiment has frequently been wrong before. The useful function of a survey like this is to ask- as Jo says- what is the public willing to spend to stop climate chnge?
152
Even if the problem is real, which it ain’t, who is going to force China, Russia, India, and the US to reduce their emissions to almost zero to avoid the supposed global warming catastrophe? The Greens? I wish they would. That way they would be either locked up or worse depending on the country, and we would be rid of the loonies forever.
102
India was (and maybe still is?) conducting a bit of an anti-Greenpeace initiative, blocking foreign funding, and access to bank accounts, etc.
31
The average temperature of the Earth’s surface without an atmosphere must be spherical. Very important:
https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2016/09/25/ned-nikolov-in-science-new-messages-mean-more-than-the-messengers-names/
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Thanks ren,
Well found. So pressure is a direct cause! No wonder “they” didn’t want it published.
Cheers,
Dave B
31
Thanks Ren,
I was looking out for the paper, which was presented (presumably in an abbreviated form to the London Conference of Geoethics (Sep2016). The Paper was apparemtly withdrawn after Willis Eschenbach complained that the authors used pseudonyms.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2016/09/14/climate-skeptics-behaving-badly/
I liked this comment:
10
A recent poll done by Identity Communications was covered by SBS.
‘The Chinese are one of the largest migrant groups in Australia, comprising around 4 per cent, but their voting preferences have been largely unknown with many underrepresented in major opinion polls because of language barriers.
‘Thang Ngo, managing director of marketing company Identity Communications, says the results reflect the government’s immigration policy.
“A lot of the migrants these days are business migrants and affluent people, so for them they are concerned about business and the economy,” Mr Ngo says.
“Climate change and marriage equality are very important issues to us in the mainstream but what the poll shows is that to migrants that are worried about settling in and getting ahead, that is the least important.”
102
I seriously doubt which segment of the Chinese population was making up the immigrants would have much effect on the result of a poll like this. Even a Chinese coolie looks for ways to make extra money with deals on the side.
http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/2016/06/29/election-2016-chinese-australian-voters-reveal-what-matters-them
42
As some who has had to bootstrap into another country for work ( as a quasi immigrant…. ) I can tell you survival and doing well are the only things you really care about….local politics…pah….no time, dont care…..eating…yes….important….
CAGW & marriage equality = middle class first world problem nonsense…..
30
“Climate change and marriage equality are very important issues to us in the mainstream ”
NO. they are NOT !!
Only in the far-left oriented mainstream media.
123
ABC, SBS, Fairfax and the Guardian will have to give up on same sex marriage, its dead in the water.
30
One can only hope…..talk about flogging a dead horse……
Bad pun….
30
Who is/are The Climate Institute? I suppose that I should know, but I am not sure that I have heard of them before today.
42
Depends if you’re talking about the Climate Institute, The Climate Change Institute or the Climate Council 😉
They’re all parasitic organisations – first and last are fighting for donations from the gullible and concerned while the 2nd leeches off the ANU (like the Melbourne Energy Institute at the University of Melbourne and the Institute for Sustainable Futures at the University of Technology Sydney)
The one concerning this article is the 1st, though
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Like the Pedestrian Council but more dangerous and emotional?
41
The average punters’ feelings about government, tame media and academic push-pollers are like those of Romanians just before the commies fell. We don’t believe any more, we don’t care any more, and we don’t listen any more. We just want ’em gone. All I want to hear about Turnbull or Baird or Fairfax or the ABC is that they are GONE.
Are they gone yet?
131
But do they really want the alternatives in power?
21
Having read the questionnaire, it’a push poll. Not worth a zac.
172
Mr Bolt has waded in on the topic too and The Climate Institute has issued a reply!
They won’t intend go down without a fight.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/blogs/andrew-bolt/behind-the-climate-institutes-poll-bull/news-story/7cb1fcafd8e196c651a2c50411b53b5d
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A .. approach that .. maximises opportunities in .. a global transition is strongly preferable and .. The Climate Institute is working towards with business, investor .. organisations.
Yes, it is about the money. Connor is a lawyer, like the people who run the international business Greenpeace. Storm chaser.
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Suggest that if anybody is interested check out and review the Board & Staff.
Their message IS NOT about research – it’s about telling the story of Climate Change while wallowing in the trough of other people’s $$s as leaders in the Climate Change Industry.
Spin-doctors all.
Of course they won’t give up the fight – it’s their gravy-train.
111
Board and staff..???
I struggle to find anyone even remotely to do with science of any sort.
Lawyers and journalists is all.
41
It is said that a group standing on a street corner is a firm of solicitors.
31
There are some people on the board who may have had a brush with science at some point. Graeme Pearman is about as close to a scientist as one could get, if he didn’t have his two front trotters and snout firmly in the “climate science” trough.
31
I was going to say that they were a bit of a motley crew. But thinking about it, “motley crew” means, “A diverse and poorly organised group, like a band of pirates”.
Diverse, they are not, except when one looks at the detail. Poorly organised, they certainly are not. A band of pirates? Hmmm …?
31
As Maggie Thatcher said ( and it proves her point )
“socialists are very good atr spending other peoples money” – which also implies inate to Socialism general ineptness and parasitic behaviour.
40
OriginalSteve,
Ultimately communists and socialist run out of ‘other people’ and start cannibalizing themselves.
See history of China under Moa, Russia under Stalin, North Korea, many socialist Central and South American countries, etc…
30
oops YAT (yet another typo)
should be …
China under Mao
…of course.
10
‘…a conservative notion of risk management on this issue.’
That’s the well known ‘precautionary principle’ which keeps the show on the road.
31
I was totally unaware of “The Precautionary Principle”, until the phrase was used in relation to climate change. It seems to me to be a total nonsense. Everybody takes risks, all of the time. We would not go near a road if we firmly abided by “The Precautionary Principle”, because something might fall off a truck and hit us.
So I did some research, and what did I find? The term Precautionary Principle was defined by UNESCO, in relation to, “Scientific uncertainty in environmental management”. Woohoo!
So, because we cannot alter, let alone manage, the environment, we must revert to the Precautionary Principle, and dance round the fire, shaking a string of bones, and muttering curses.
The Climate Institute is no better than shamans and witch doctors.
But Governments better cough up with the money, or they will have the bone pointed at them, and who knows what might happen then?
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As I’ve said in the past, the Left redefines words to suit its own ends…
Its a bit like when 5 year olds make up silly words, we have no idea what it means…..they do though.
My 8yo daughter got words mixed up once….she was conveying a real train wreck of a situation “It was a total apostrophe…”…you have to laugh… he he
Grown ups, however, should know better…tut tut 2/10 , must try harder…..
Socialism = Fail
30
According to Lewis Carroll, Humpty Dumpty was a socialist…
And also the socialists tea party…
20
I agree . “Precautionary Principle ” is agood term nonetheless .I’m waiting for an appropriate application.If I use it in the right circles I could be a real contender!
20
Who said that there would be so little rain that the dams will never be full? Was it not the Climate Institute spokesman? In their risk management studies have they included the present floods in several states?
162
With much more on the way
41
Second post attempt.
A worldwide survey by the UN shows “Taking action on climate change” as the least important for 10 million respondents.
http://rclutz.wordpress.com/2016/09/24/ban-ki-moon-listen-to-the-masses/
201
Many of the far more important issues require power. Clean affordable power. Transport. Clean water and sanitation requires power. Internet, phones require power.
We are hearing that turning off our abundant power is the right thing to do, to show the world how to live, to set an example? Of what? Self harm? Absurd behaviour?
102
Something like National Parks locking up areas for future generations?
51
Or the move to get rid of the people and save the planet, but for whom?
The Green movement is one of the most selfish and utterly ignorant in history. It is beyond parody that South Australia has used vast amounts of public money to build forests of useless windmills. Surely now South Australians has one of the lowest CO2 levels on the planet? No? Then why?
What then is the logic of leading the world in windmill waste and totally unreliable ‘sustainables’. Our Hazelwood was commissioned in 1971 but it is now supposedly obsolete and polluting? 45 years later? What? It is perfectly useful, necessary and clean and produces no pollution? The brown coal reserves are huge. So we will shut it.
In fact we have reversed any sensible logic. Unpredictable windmills now provide the base load and they want fossil fuel generators to fill in the gaps?
I remember sticker on an old battered Land Cruiser 4WD. “The true wilderness is between a Greenie’s ears”
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The list of extreme greenism is long and bewildering.
71
Dennis, its called “Rewilding” and is powered by…drum roll…..Agenda 21.
The idea is to force people out of the countryside, and into mega slum cities where humans can be eaily watched, controlled and easily culled ( high population density and control of water supplies are the U….er….genocidal maniacs best friend….)
The NWO mob want to reduce the planets population to 500 million – yep that figure is correct. They plan on a massive war of west vs east and agenda 21 to mop up whats left….
40
Great find there, Ron.
Interesting that the only age group that didn’t rate CC dead last was the over 45s crowd. I’d guess that was only because they don’t care so much about Internet access and computing things, so Internet access was their last option, CC still 2nd last.
How’s the irony! The warmists are always telling us “THINK OF THE CHILDREN” but even the children don’t give a flying fig about fighting climate change – that’s the U.N.’s own data!
111
Yes because the over 45s were trained to use their brain *and* been around long enough to smell UN horse doo doo and avoid it….
The reason under 40s are targetted as they have been softened up by a deliberately dumbed down education system, equipped with smart phones and led to the mental slaughter…..
10
As one of those who remain to be even slightly aware that any climate changes at all are occurring (I hate the singular in a country as big as Australia, from Hobart to Darwin, Perth to Cairns), I wonder how anyone can tell in this land of ‘droughts and flooding rains’. That is the climate.
Not only is accurate and widespread measurement of temperature new to Australia along with Europeans with their records, it is newest to the whole Southern half of the planet. So what do we know of the long term cycles? The fact that La Nina and El Nino are not predictable at all, the biggest and longest and most obvious climate phenomena in the entire Pacific, shows that whatever weather models people are using, they are a long way from even competent let alone complete. We do know a lot about the Federation drought, the data for which became the property of the newly formed BOM in 1909 but which is still in cupboards somewhere, locked up so they can say this is the hottest, driest ever.
Now we will soon hear from the Climate Council/Climate Institute/Climate Opportunists that the flooding rains are more proof of Climate Change. No. That is the climate.
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It is obvious that Climates can Change but Climates by their very definition are not things which can be measured over a decade or two in a largely arid landscape. It is good debating tactic to concede Climates Change. However if anyone has any real evidence of serious man made climate change anywhere in Australia, it would be interesting to see it. If 350 full time CSIRO scientists could not find clear evidence in a decade, what hope the casual observer? Even they warned of the danger of confusing long term weather cycles with the climate.
As is also true, the total increase in the human population in the last few decades generates more CO2 per year than the whole of Australia’s output, just by breathing out.
No one suggests we ask these people not to exist or to move more slowly. No, we Australians generously and so intelligently cripple our manufacturing, transport, farming, mining and travel and turn off our electricity plants just to show the world we care. About what?
81
Of course compounding this problem is the fact that only the adjusted version of the true temperature records are being used.
The unadjusted temperature record is data, the adjusted figures are just statistical products derive from that real data.
If anyone calls these data products the temperature records or temperature data they are plain, flat-out, WRONG!
The adjust figures can at best be referred to derived products from statistical manipulation — they can never be called the temperature record!
In true science real data records are the recording of observed measurements. Not the products of adjusted records.
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What makes it worse is this data product is used to “calibrate” simulations that are based upon the premise that CAGC is real. Then the output of the simulations are compared to the data product and it “magically” matches. Yet, when this miraculous match is projected into the future, it fails to match the future result. Which, in turn requires more manipulation of the data product from the past which is used to recalibrate the simulations. The cycle is endlessly repeated.
This kind of process is not good enough to be called a pseudo science let alone an actual science. Yet, the politicians use the so called results to drive to a global government with unlimited powers and without accountability to the people governed.
It is a drive to return to the days of absolute monarchs but without the sham cover of divine right. They presume the unbounded right to rule simply because they assert they have a right to rule. We, the ruled, are to have no say in the matter even to the point of asking questions is to be prohibited.
We, the makers, have been too busy making to notice that the takers and destroyers have taken over and corrupted every institution that were put in place to assure our individual liberty. In that respect, the current situation is our fault. We allowed it to happen. Hence, it is up to us to stop it.
Please notice that any power the takers and destroyers have is the power we have, by choice or by default, given to them. Hence, we have the power to no longer give it. If we say “no more” and make it stick, their entire edifice of power, authority, and corruption will collapse about them.
We don’t need them but they desperately need us. Their only hope was that we would not learn how dependent upon us they are. Without our making, they have nothing to take.
Our challenge is, as always, not to become collateral damage.
72
The other point to note is that their statistically adjusted product is not scientifically useful.
The adjustments are made on assumption is that the past was colder than the last 10-15 years. How do they come to this startling conclusion — because that is what the models say!
They have designed a pure unscientific digital monster which continually references its own modeled outcome. A digital self-fulfilling prophecy machine.
If that is untrue by all means prove it so by allowing the public see all the methods by which the adjustments are made and all the data showing where and how the equipment and/or the interpretations of the measurements are wrong. Go ahead mendacious poltroons at Western government climate and weather agencies, publish the methods and the data-sets proving it is valid thing to do.
Because we all can see the lunacy of the method.
For instance a previous very high temperature in say 1934, when the locality was mostly countryside is adjusted to be cooler, as today it is an urban over-spill area by a freeway.
Cooling the past make no sense it is moronic! I does nothing but destroy credibility in the scientific process.
I for one know they can’t show how and why they do it as this would reveal too much about this huge sham.
51
¯
¯
Your comment is awaiting moderation.
Ehh? Why?
I know that it is sailing close to the wind but surely it’s not over the red line?
21
Thank-you moderator.
It’s a tough job and you’re all doing a fine job.
21
Some journalists meekly take letters,
And report what they’re told by their betters,
Being hoodwinked and duped,
By the story they’ve scooped,
Keeping truth about climate in fetters.
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If asked how much money I would be prepared to pay to the government to stop climate change my answer would be not a single penny. You would have to be some kind of Cnut to think that the government can control the climate. Regarding the man made part of the issue. The climate has been changing since the Earth was formed. If industrial activity is currently the primary cause, what was causing it before? Regarding experts. At the present moment in time, you can only be an expert on climate change if you agree with the government mandated consensus. Anyone, no matter how well qualified, who disagrees, even on small details, is by definition a denier and cannot be considered an expert.
91
If you refuse to pay the government to stop climate change, then they will continue to change the climate, so there!
40
I like Stonyground!
It implies an initial acceptance of the Climate fable, but the interest quickly withered in the face of enquiries and observations.
http://biblehub.com/mark/4-5.htm
30
Apart from a couple of tiny (fractions of degrees) steps up in temperature at El Ninos…
… could someone please tell me how climate has changed in the last 38 years?
71
AndyG55’s question, though rhetorical, can be answered thus:
“a rare positive effect of
climate changeGlobal Warming”“Rising greenhouse gases have boosted rainfall in the Sahel region of Africa, easing droughts that killed 100,000 people
in the 1970s and 1980s, in a rare positive effect of climate change, a study said on Monday.
“Amounts of rainfall have recovered substantially,” said Rowan Sutton, a professor at the National Centre for Atmospheric Science at Britain’s Reading University and co-author of the study in the journal Nature Climate Change.
“And it was a surprise that the increase in greenhouse gases appears to have been the dominant factor,” he told Reuters.
Sahel summer rainfall was 0.3 mm (0.01 inch) a day higher from 1996-2011 than the drought period of 1964-93.”
In order for balance, here is what the 97% science said:
2011- Is Global Warming Really Harming Africa’s Sahel Region?
“According to the new study, a rise in temperatures and a decline in precipitation during the 20th century reduced tree
densities in the Sahel by approximately 18 percent from 1954 through 2002.
Lead author Patrick Gonzalez says in a press release accompanying the study, “Rainfall in the Sahel has dropped
20-30 percent in the 20th century…”
41
Arrhenius, Callendar, and Lamb also mentioned the beneficial effect that rising CO2 levels would have in improving plant life, helping to green the planet.
41
The NH has warmed by about 0.7 degrees south of the Arctic Circle
and 0.9 degrees north of the Arctic Circle.
The Southern Hemisphere has warmed a mere 0.28 degrees C north of Antarctica.
The Southern Hemisphere temperatures are about 2 degrees C (or slightly more) on average lower than the Northern Hemoisphere’s for similar latitudes.
So it’s Northern Hemisphere Warming, not Global.
Yet the SH atmospheric CO2 content is still the same as the Northern Hemispheres. So it can’t be CO2.
(The IPCC in AR5 say mankind’s CO2 emissions are 3.75% of total global CO2 emissions. At that rate, it’s going to take a long time to double the atmospheric CO2 content from the current 0.04% to 0.08%, which will warm the “planet” by at least 1.2 degrees C. It still hasn’t doubled since the 0.035 % of the second half of the 19th Century.
97% of Eng. Lit graduates who claim Climate Critique Knowledge and Expertise, claim it’s Global, it’s Real and it’s Here. It sounds so much scarier that way.)
30
Haha . . . I don’t think anyone can.
If we are to believe that 30 years of data is considered a minimum to assess climate, 38 years is just one data point.
The BOM say their data pre-1909 is “unreliable”, so they are working with less than four data points.
Sounds legit . . .
31
“Raven
September 27, 2016 at 12:32 pm · Reply
… could someone please tell me how climate has changed in the last 38 years?
Haha . . . I don’t think anyone can.
If we are to believe that 30 years of data is considered a minimum to assess climate, 38 years is just one data point.”
Surely 30-40 years is just oceanic oscillations (weather) and climate needs several hundred years and can only be assessed in retrospect?
To me the true climatologists are the paleoclimatogists.
41
Welcome to the state of SA in the State of Victoria;
GREG BROWN
Victorian households could pay an extra $100 a year on their bills because of the closure of a power station.
The Australian newspaper
71
Like the South Australians, we’ve voted in a Marxist circus that are doing their utmost to ruin the state. All this “free” renewable energy is going to cost us dearly and make good money for NSW.
More jobs to go down in Portland. I guess those who lose their smelter jobs can go around the wind farms, picking up dead birds that have been “saved” from climate change.
When is the next election? May 2018? It is amazing how much damage they can do in such little time.
Here’s the link for your article
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/state-politics/power-station-shutdown-a-100-hit-on-household-power-bills/news-story/884fc63c8deed611662a7a253eb95abf
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Like the CFMEU implant in Japan this week riding on a suburban train talking about a future Victoria train management system that will revolutionarise train travel …. might be ready in a decade or two.
51
whilst it is true that Labor managed to form government in South Australia after the last election, I think technically, they received less than half the vote, and I know they are continuing to adjust electoral boundaries – which, perhaps unsurprisingly, seem to benefit Labor.
I’m just waiting for ministers to start openly appointing their own relatives to positions of authority, and as their successors, and the Premier to start renaming streets after himself, with a large golden statue to be built in his honour.
20
Electoral gerrymander in SA, boundaries adjusted or fixed to ensure that only a landslide against Labor by voters will unseat them.
20
Is there a mechanism to sack a state govt like was done to Whitlam?
Times up , comrades!
30
In the above article Jo States:
On both the WUWT facebook page and Andrew Bolts Blog I posted the following.
The Climate Institute and their employees are in it for the money,and only the money.
141
“Why not ask Australian’s if they’d like to pay 10c a KWhr for electricity from coal”
I wish!!. I am now paying 27c (incl gst) for every kw of peak power in SE Qld.
31
“The hottest ever El Nino year”…was achieved partly by the El Nino, partly by UHI and partly by concentrated manipulation, homogenisation and adjustment of the temperature data, not by CO2.
91
It was warm mostly because of El Nino and soon it will get cooler for a variety of reasons, but partly because CO2 doesn’t warm damp air and low cloud cover is set to increase in the decade ahead. The active sun of late last century went on the blink around 2003 and now we are waiting to see what happens next.
Its too late to concern ourselves with the UHI and adjustments etc, the authorities think we are mad.
The only thing to turn public opinion around is weather out of sync with the seasons and we need a credible polling outfit to inform us what the majority really think about climate change.
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But what if no polling were done at all?
Obviously there would be no opinion known at all.
I mean . . if someone asked me, as an atheist, how God has improved the lives of millions over the last century, I’d put a tick in one of the boxes.
. . . but it doesn’t reflect my position.
22
‘But what if no polling were done at all?’
Are the Chinese in mainland China better off not knowing?
20
The engineer …
http://quadrant.org.au/opinion/doomed-planet/2015/12/discovering-maurice-strong/
31
WOKE U TO THIS! Fran tries so hard to sound like she is a climate expert! truly unbelievable:
AUDIO: 27 Sept: ABC Breakfast: Long term climate heading into territory ‘unknown’ by humans: (Will) Steffen
Scientists have created the longest continuous reconstruction of the Earth’s surface climate stretching back two million years.
Their analysis predicts that current greenhouse gas levels could commit the planet to extreme rises of temperature over the long term.
The research, published overnight in the journal Nature, suggests warming of between three to seven degrees Celsius may already be ‘locked in’ over coming millennia.
The paper is called Evolution of global temperature over the past two million years and was conducted by Stanford University researchers in the US.
Will Steffen from the Australian National University says short term transient temperature is increasing 170 times faster than background levels.
Professor Steffen says rising carbon emissions are likely to lock in hundreds of thousands of years of climate change ‘nothing like humans have known in the past’.
http://www.abc.net.au/radionational/programs/breakfast/long-term-climate-heading-into-territory/7879672
11
Also at the ABC (and Conversation) Glikson doubles down on climate sensitivity in an “it’s worse than we thought” piece:
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-09-27/emissions-could-already-warm-world-to-dangerous-levels-study/7878558?section=analysis
He lays the alarmism on in unhealthy doses:
and
41
Thanks Bulldust,
Your link includes:
“Over the past 800,000 years, and particularly during glacial cycles, atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and global temperature were closely linked.”
I actually agree with those words, taking them to mean that CO2 concentrations increase as temperature increases, but delivered in an obuscatory way to imply the opposite.
They must have got good marks in their propaganda training.
Cheers,
Dave B
30
‘We’re already seeing marked cooling of ocean regions south of Greenland…’ and its a regional cooling signal.
In the Southern Hemisphere we are experiencing a cold air outbreak from Antarctica, clearly this is another signal.
http://www.bom.gov.au/fwo/IDY65100.pdf
40
27 Sept: NYT: Anand Giridharadas: Besieged Globalists Ponder What Went Wrong
Almost by definition, nationalists and localists are underrepresented at these global gatherings. Their paucity was especially notable this time, because the rising signs of nationalism — whether in the form of Donald J. Trump’s winning the Republican nomination, the British vote to leave the European Union, or the German backlash against Angela Merkel’s welcome to refugees — hovered like a specter over many of the discussions…
***The globalists have lofty aims, of course, like working toward a climate-change agreement…
Again and again, in private conversations and in public forums, the globalists spoke of feeling besieged. Take the valedictory address of former President Bill Clinton, the paterfamilias of the globalist reunion…
In a discussion Mr. Clinton moderated on shared prosperity, his four guests were esteemed globalists…
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/27/us/politics/globalism-un-assembly-nationalism-populism.html?_r=0
11
26 Sept: The Hill: Timothy Cama: Top climate skeptic to lead Trump’s EPA transition team
Myron Ebell, director of energy and environment policy at the conservative think tank Competitive Enterprise Institute, is heading Trump’s EPA transition preparation, E&E Daily reported Monday…
Ebell has argued that the Clean Power Plan is illegal and that the Paris climate change agreement is unconstitutional…
The Republican presidential nominee’s EPA would be responsible for implementing his ambitious agenda of dismantling major pieces of Obama’s climate legacy, like the Clean Power Plan for power plants and the Paris agreement…
***The Trump campaign didn’t respond to requests to confirm E&E’s report. Ebell referred questions to the campaign.
http://thehill.com/policy/energy-environment/297755-top-climate-skeptic-to-lead-trumps-epa-transition
nothing confirmed but fun to see the CAGW-infested MSM squirming:
26 Sept: NYT Dot Earth: Andrew C. Revkin: No Debate: Trump Picks a Perfect Transition Man for the E.P.A.
Updated, 7:50 p.m. | Late this afternoon, I sent an email query to Myron Ebell, the longtime director of energy and environmental policy at the Competitive Enterprise Institute, to check on reports that he’d been tapped by Donald J. Trump’s campaign …READ ALL
http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2016/09/26/no-debate-trump-picks-a-perfect-transition-man-for-the-e-p-a/
26 Sept: WaPo: Steven Mufson: Trump’s transition team has tapped a longtime climate skeptic to set environmental policy
Myron Ebell, who works on energy and environment issues at the Competitive Enterprise Institute, has also said that efforts to slow climate change would cost too much money and hurt the world’s poor. He said President Obama’s Clean Power Plan, which he considers illegal, should be called the Costly Power Plan.
“There has been a little bit of warming,” he told Vanity Fair in 2007, “but it’s been very modest and well within the range for natural variability, and whether it’s caused by human beings or not, it’s nothing to worry about.”…
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/09/26/trumps-transition-team-includes-a-major-skeptic-of-mainstream-climate-change-science/?utm_term=.8e113562c21e
31
Perhaps the survey questions have something to do with a looming cash crisis down at The Climate Institute?
This group of self-styled “principled pragmatists” headed by lawyer, John Connor, unquestioningly promotes the convenient (for them) fiction that just because “climate change is real” we know so much about its causation we can control it, and so on and so forth.
But CI has a bigger problem than climate change right now – $$$$ and presumably survival. “Expiry of significant philanthropic support” presumably means they’ve spent all the money they were given a decade ago.
Funded by “philanthropic backing”. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_Institute_of_Australia
“The Institute was originally set up for 5 years under funding provided by the Poola Foundation’s Tom Kantor fund. The Institute has now been running for more than a decade, but the expiry of significant philanthropic support means that it now faces key challenges if it is to continue to operate beyond 2017. In December 2015, The Age reported that the organisation was struggling with fundraising, as its core funding ran out. The Institute has been very actively seeking new donors.”
41
Business collapse, and unemployment couldn’t happen to a more deserving bunch of people.
41
CAGW = BS
CAGW = Scam
CAGW = Money by deception
CAGW = Great Big New Tax
All the surveys and loaded polls in the world by Marxist/Totalitarian ratbags, get rich quick scammers, Professional Pretenders(actors), and MSM Presstitutes, none of these clown, thief and freak shows offer the one convincing argument……Scientific Proof!
Instead of proof, we are offered doctored CONsensuses, scare mongering, ridicule, 100% dud predictions, sacking of dissenters, and unfounded hysteria.
In short, are we supposed to destroy our economy and embrace stupidity because of yet another manufactured propaganda piece?
All advocates of this fiasco are candidates for either ‘leg irons’for thievery, or ‘straight jackets’ for lunacy….or both!
Hopefully the Trumpster will defeat the Hitlery ratbag, become US Pres. and begin the process of ending this global climate scam with the ‘tearing up’ of the Paris BS agreement and continue on to undo the damage done by his predecessor, El Presidente O’Bummer!
42
Anyone watch the debate? Some benefit from having the flu, anyway.
I thought Hillary stood up surprisingly well. No coughs or wobbles. Same old big government pitch, though, with renewables thrown in. The Donald make a nice counter that all the greenwash should heed – who’s going to pay for all this ($hit)?
Good to hear The Donald call out Climate Change as not a priority, even though he didn’t call it out as fraud. And Hillary didn’t mention Climate Change once!
21
Since the original post has sprung the moderation filter, let’s try again….
======================
Anyone watch the debate? Some benefit from having the flu, anyway.
I thought Hillary stood up surprisingly well. No coughs or wobbles. Same old big government pitch, though, with renewables thrown in. The Donald make a nice counter that all the greenwash should heed – who’s going to pay for all this ($hit)?
Good to hear The Donald call out Climate Change as not a priority, even though he didn’t call it out as frawd. And Hillary didn’t mention Climate Change once!
31
Worried about political climate changing?
21
Whoops, Hillary did make one reference to Climate Change but only in an attack on The Donald – she definitely did not bring it up in any of her policy statements, however.
31
… she definitely did not bring it up in any of her policy statements …
You know that won’t matter.
31
The bottom line for the UN’s is that 250 years of greed drove industrialization. And as all communist are taught greed is bad, QED industrialization is bad.
On both counts they are WRONG!
Greed when channeled for a wider social benefit works well and has done for many generations. Most industrialists through the history worked on this basic premise — industry for the improvement of society. And it has been a great success! Industrial nations of the West have no need to feel guilty about their past, needs and necessities of the day were the drivers, and thankfully industrialization prove to be the best mechanism for the relief of poverty.
The UN wishes to trash this model. Installing a regime whereby appointed donors nations (guilty of being early industrial nations) will be crippled by tax and treaty obligations, and recipient nations forever stuck in UN mandated poverty traps of not being able to progress — for progress would involve the implementation of some industrialization.
All the while the UN will be skimming funds from the donor nations while adding costs to the recipients’ project bill.
51
Jo, David might like to see this:
26 Sept: ClimateChangeNews: Tim Radford: Don’t blame the solar cycle for global warming
New research confirms that increased greenhouse gas levels − rather than solar radiation impacts − are the key factor in global climate change
European scientists have dug deep to dismiss once again the old argument that climate change might be a consequence of solar radiation rather than atmospheric chemistry…
The TOSCA project – which stands for “towards a more complete assessment of the impact of solar variability on the Earth’s climate”− is a co-operation involving solar physics, geomagnetism, climate modelling and atmospheric chemistry.
The scientists went for a global approach, with 61 researchers from many disciplines working together to examine as many aspects as possible that might link variations in the sun’s behaviour with variations in climate. And they have summarised the story-so-far in a new report (LINK).
What they identified is solar mechanisms that could alter regional climate, but none that could trigger global warming…
http://www.climatechangenews.com/2016/09/26/dont-blame-the-solar-cycle-for-global-warming/
Thanks. Passed on to D. – J
21
Pat,
Don’t bother looking for “Earth’s climate response to a changing Sun” as it is ‘sold out’. How very convenient…
This other paper cited in your link says —
http://www.cost.eu/media/cost_stories/changing-sun-changing-climate
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Maybe Jo or Dr. Evans will look over their ideas of how solar activity will pan out in the coming 200 years or so.
20
tom0mason –
as i’ve said repeatedly, i KNOW NOTHING when it comes to the scientific hypotheses/theories regarding climate. i’m just passing this one on to David.
however, it does seem to me no-one can predict the climate EXACTLY tomorrow, much less in a hundred years!
00
Having read the story I can only think they are having an each way bet.
from here: http://www.cost.eu/media/cost_stories/changing-sun-changing-climate
“By comparing recent measurements with results from new models, the network challenged the long-debated assumption that the Sun’s slight change in radiation could cause the Earth’s climate to change.
They found mechanisms by which solar variation can alter climate variability regionally, but none that would trigger global warming. Looking at time scales longer than a century, the impact of solar variability on climate change is evident, but the effect of greenhouse gases has been proven much more considerable in the short run.
However, there are still many questions behind the Sun-Earth connection, some of which TOSCA helped answer.
By examining the different phenomena defining the solar impact on climate in general, the team showed several subtle phenomena could have a significant impact, often locally. For instance, UV radiation amounts to a mere 7% of solar energy, but its variation produces changes in the stratosphere near the Equator, all the way to the polar regions, which govern climate. This means that winters in Europe would become wetter and milder or, on the contrary, drier and cooler, depending on the Sun’s state.”
Overall it seems that the paper provides what their “paymasters” want to hear!
20
27 Sept: ClimateChangeNews: Poland threatens EU plan to ratify UN climate deal
As the EU races to ratify the climate treaty before the next UN climate meeting in November, Poland pushes for concessions on coal
By Karl Mathiesen and Ed King
In a letter to the environment ministers of other member states, Poland’s Jan Szyszko said the country expected the EU to recognise its special need to build new coal plants and carry credits from the Kyoto Protocol in order to meet emissions reduction targets.
The move comes at a time when the EU has placed its credibility on the line over the Paris Agreement…
EU environment ministers will meet in an extraordinary session in Brussels on September 30 to make a decision on ratification…
“Poland is a country rich in energy sources and its energy security, based on its own resources, that is hard coal and lignite is the foundation of Poland’s economy and sustainable development. Moreover, Poland faces the need to develop new energy plants, as it has to satisfy the growing demand for electrical power and replace ageing and inefficient power plants,” wrote the minister.
“Poland shall consent to ratify the Paris agreement by the EU, provided that our reduction achievements made so far under the Kyoto Protocol and the specificity of our national energy mix are considered.”…
Using credits accumulated under the Kyoto protocol is an accounting trick rejected by many countries. Australia openly uses them to achieve the perception it is reducing emissions. But Germany, Denmark, the Netherlands, Sweden and Britain have cancelled theirs, judging the Kyoto regime to have been too generous.
Other concessions the Polish minister demanded was the ability to count carbon being locked away in its forests and wooden buildings, plus avoided emissions because of its use trees and other biomass for energy…
http://www.climatechangenews.com/2016/09/27/poland-threatens-eu-plan-to-ratify-un-climate-deal/
30
27 Sept: Indian Express: Reuters: China buys record North Korean coal as sanctions ignored: Data
China imported 2.465 million tonnes of coal from North Korea in August, the highest on record, and 61% above what was bought in April, the month sanctions were supposed to take effect…
Tougher measures were imposed by the United Nations in March aimed at starving North Korea of funds for its nuclear and ballistic missile programme. China said at the time it would ban imports of gold and rare earths, as well as coal. While coal imports from North Korea did slip in April to 1.527 million tonnes from March’s 2.345 million, they have been steadily trending higher since then to reach August’s record…
China’s imports of North Korean coal are up 11.7 percent for the first eight months of the year compared to the same period last year, slightly below the 12.4 percent gain for total coal imports. So far, the big winners among coal exporters to China are Mongolia, with a 50.1 percent year-to-date increase and Indonesia at 18 percent…
In fact, China may have been too successful in lowering domestic coal production, last week allowing 74 major miners to increase output of thermal coal, Reuters reported on Sept. 23…
Australian premium hard coking coal has jumped 164 percent to end last week at $206.40 a tonne, providing a bonanza for major miners like BHP Billiton, which together with partner Mitsubishi is the largest exporter of the fuel…
http://indianexpress.com/article/world/world-news/china-buys-record-north-korean-coal-as-sanctions-ignored-data-3051190/
27 Sept: ABC: Andrew Kos: ‘Global warming’ challenge against Rinehart coal mine dismissed by Queensland Court of Appeal
The proposed 30-million-tonne Alpha coal mine in central Queensland co-owned by Gina Rinehart has cleared another legal hurdle, with Queensland’s highest court dismissing an appeal from an environmental group…
Coast and Country spokesman Derec Davies said they would consider further legal action.
“Today’s decision is highly disappointing,” he said…
The Alpha mine has been forecast to produce 30 million tonnes of coal per year and create 2,000 long-term jobs during its 30-plus years of operation…
http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-09-27/global-warming-challenge-against-rinehart-coal-mine-dismissed/7880358
20
number you can believe in:
27 Sept: WaPo: Chris Mooney: The U.S. is on course to miss its emissions goals, and one reason is methane
Take the U.S. It pledged, as part of the Paris process, to cut its emissions 26-to-28 percent below the level where they were in the year 2005 by the year 2025…
…there have been questions about how achievable this U.S. goal is — and now, a new study (LINK) in Nature Climate Change appears to raise concerns to a new pitch. The paper, by Jeffery Greenblatt and Max Wei of the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, does the math on current and proposed future U.S. climate policies and basically finds that it will be difficult (although certainly not impossible) for the country to hit its embraced target, without doing even more than is being contemplated right now…
Greenblatt and Wei first sought to calculate what 2005 emissions actually were, and found that we don’t really know — or at least, not to a high level of precision. They estimate that we emitted between 6.323 and 7.403 billion tons of carbon dioxide equivalent emissions in that year. That’s right: The high end and low end estimate diverge by over a billion tons…
Based on these numbers, Greenblatt and Wei calculate that the U.S. needs to reduce its annual emissions, in 2025, to between 4.553 billion and 5.478 billion tons in order to meet its goal…
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/09/26/the-u-s-is-on-course-to-miss-its-emissions-goals-and-one-reason-is-methane/?utm_term=.27e33074dd15
the end of fossil fuels? not likely:
2 pages: 26 Sept: Reuters: EUROPE POWER-Curve up at 10-week high on coal, spot power
The European forward power curve rose to its highest levels since mid-July on Monday, driven by firmer coal and strong prompt power prices, which reflected lower than expected wind speeds and thermal plant availability…
Prices of coal, which is still used in much of German electricity generation, have established themselves above $60 a tonne for the API2 2017 contract since last week due to a softer dollar and disruptions in Australian ports…
Oil, which influences other energy prices, has been underpinned by a producers gathering in Algeria to discuss ways to support the market…
Spot electricity prices in Germany and France were lifted as forecasts for immediate higher wind levels did not materialise and were instead pushed towards the weekend. German solar, if higher than anticipated, was also at modest levels.
German wind availability is expected to stay at a low 1.5 gigawatts (GW) throughout the week and that of solar around 5 GW, Thomson Reuters data showed…
http://af.reuters.com/article/energyOilNews/idAFL8N1C224Y
20
meant to type: NUMBERS (PLURAL) you can believe in.
10
It was 104 °F here yesterday (40 °C), or a least that’s the highest I noticed. It’s somewhat unusual to be sure but not unprecedented by any means.
Something is interfering with my remote sensor today so I’m reduced to reading the less accurate thermometer. It can read higher because of greater influence from being under a lot more of the patio roof which gets quite hot with the sun hitting it all day. It reads 102 right now at 12:45 PM so another 104 looks possible.
September can be an oven around Southern California. But no records that I know of. And the news would be crowing about it if they could say there was a record.
Business as usual.
00
Jo, How do comments get so out of time order? And the nesting gets messed up too.
00
for the record, given this thread is about dodgy surveys/polls, & the Presidential debate has come up.
on anti-Trump MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” today, apparently Joe Scarborough is looking depressed about the debate & his co-host, Mika Brzezinski, Zbigniew’s daughter, is fretting that Donald Trump came away the winner politically.
Michael Moore says it’s all over, Trump has won.
something like 28 out of 30 snap polls had Trump the winner.
TrumpWon was trending on Twitter.
Google news page only had Trump listed as a News category, not Clinton.
yet…the only poll figures i heard on MSM tv/radio last nite re the Presidential Debate stated Clinton won 60/40, not even naming any poll. it would seem MSM is loosely characterising an absurd CNN poll.
within what seemed an “INSTANT” of the debate ending, CNN had:
26 Sept: Business Insider: Oliver Darcy: CNN INSTANT POLL: Hillary Clinton won in a landslide
Sixty-two percent of 521 respondents said the Democratic nominee won the political showdown…
CNN’s political director David Chalian, however, cautioned that the poll “definitely skews Democratic” because of the sample, which was approximately 10% more Democratic than a normal CNN poll would use.
Chalian said the margin of error was about 4.5%…
http://www.businessinsider.com.au/poll-who-won-clinton-trump-debate-2016-9?r=US&IR=T
26 Sept: PDF: 23 pages: CNN/ORC Poll
METHODOLOGY
A total of 521 adult registered voters who watched the debate were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Among the entire sample, 41% described themselves as Democrats, 26% described themselves as Republicans, and 33% described themselves as independents or members of another party.
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2016/images/09/27/poll.pdf
more to come…
00
as expected…with no hint it is SKEWED:
ABC Australia: US presidential debate: Donald Trump vows to hit Hillary Clinton harder in next matchup
A CNN/ORC snap poll said 62 per cent of respondents felt Mrs Clinton won and 27 per cent believed Mr Trump was the winner.
Presidential election debate: Trump and Clinton clash
BBC News – 19 hours ago
A CNN/ORC poll taken after the debate found that 62% of voters who had watched the head-to-head thought that Mrs Clinton came out on top
Asian viewers give nod to Clinton after first presidential debate
Reuters-12 hours ago
A CNN poll of debate watchers released after the event found 62 percent felt Clinton won compared to 27 percent for Trump
How Clinton Beat Trump in Their First Debate, By the Numbers
Bloomberg-11 hours ago
Snap polls conducted after the debate similarly favored Clinton, including 62 percent of respondents in a CNN poll
Presidential debate: Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump face off
NEWS.com.au – 17 hours ago
In a snap CNN poll of 521 voters, 62 percent judged that Clinton had won the debate
UK Daily Mail: Majority of snap polls show Trump won debate by a landslide despite CNN’s overwhelming victory for Hillary in biggest official survey
CNN’s snap poll gave Clinton the win with 62 per cent to Trump’s 27
But most of the others reported Trump was the winner by a landslide…
CBS New York and the Washington Times, also saw Trump win the vote….
Clinton edged out Trump in the Star Tribune’s poll and one conducted by NBC News..
more to come…
00
when numbers are this large, are these polls really as INCREDIBLE as the CNN one? only Drudge is a pro-Trump website. even Hollywood’s Variety Mag would seem to favour Trump! CNBC published their poll almost the moment they started it, claiming Clinton had won, but that isn’t how it turned out at all:
DrudgeReport poll:
TRUMP 82.27% (850,867 votes)
Time Mag Poll:
TRUMP 56% (1,882,231 Votes)
http://time.com/4506217/presidential-debate-clinton-trump-survey/
CNBC: TRUMP 67% (1,214,631 Votes)
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/09/26/vote-who-won-the-first-presidential-debate.html
Variety: TRUMP 58.31% (42,213 votes)
http://variety.com/2016/biz/news/who-won-the-first-clinton-trump-debate-vote-now-1201870869/
ABC America: TRUMP 54%, (34,261 Votes)
http://abcnewsgo.co/2016/09/abc-live-poll-who-are-you-voting-for/
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it’s only a few days since the anti-Trump, leftist Politifact got called out by various bloggers for:
24 Sept: InvestmentWatchBlog: Politifact giving Trump a rating of “Mostly False” for claiming black youth unemployment is 59% (claims it’s 18.7) and giving Bernie a “Mostly True” for saying it’s 51% (claims it may be even higher)
following the debate, we have:
InvestmentWatchBlog: Politifact rates Trump “False” for claiming Obama-Clinton regulations on coal cost Michigan 50,000 jobs, but goes on to cite sources, including from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, stating that Michigan lost over 50,000 jobs to coal regulations.
& WaPo calls Clinton out for denying the following:
Fact Check: Clinton did call TPP ‘the gold standard’
Washington Post – 1 day ago
more about the evident bias of moderator, NBC’s Lester Holt, can easily be found online, but the following takes the COKE…er CAKE:
meanwhile, today, MSM IS GOING WILD – NBC, NYT, WaPo, Politico, etc etc, even SBS:
Trump debate sniffles go viral
SBS – 6 hours ago
Comedian Stephen Colbert joked that Trump “sounded like he was fighting off a cold with cocaine…
and Fox:
Trump’s sniffles prompt Howard Dean to tweet ‘Coke user?’
Fox News – 15 hours ago
Donald Trump’s case of the sniffles at Monday’s debate prompted a bizarre charge from onetime Democratic presidential candidate Howard Dean, who mused on Twitter that the GOP candidate may be a “coke user…
btw, it’s been known for years that Trump doesn’t smoke, drink or take illicit drugs (some say he doesn’t even like taking licit ones).
plus Tim Blair found something even zanier:
27 Sept: Tim Blair Blog: TRAINED OBSERVER
According to LA Times reporter Jessica Roy, Donald Trump declined to shake moderator Lester Holt’s hand following the first debate…
As the above image – available here – clearly indicates, Holt’s hand was indeed shaken. Keep moments like this in mind when following US election coverage…
UPDATE. Check out all the shakegate believers: TWEETS INCLUDING FAIRFAX
http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/blogs/tim-blair/trained-observer/news-story/7cd35926dbae16b6820b3ddda5655b9d
if Clinton won the debate in a landslide – 62-27, or even 60-40 – why does the MSM feel the need to keep up their attacks on Trump today? surely they should be concentrating on Clinton’s brilliant performance.
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something i meant to post with the polling links:
9 Oct 2015: Time Magazine: Daniel White: Here’s Why Gallup Won’t Poll the 2016 Election
On the negative side, the glut of polls often doesn’t add up to much, while problems with getting accurate results are starting to hurt the polling industry’s reputation…
The announcement this week that Gallup, one of America’s most storied pollsters, will no longer do horse-race polling on who’s ahead in the 2016 election cycle only underscored the huge changes in the industry.
Michael Dimock, president of the Pew Research Center, said it’s simply not worth it for places like Gallup to stay in the game.
“It feels like some kind of pivot, mostly because the way the rest of the polling market has developed,” he told TIME. “What you’ve seen is the arrival of a whole ton of polls that are covering that horse race side of it, just jamming us with new data day in and day out on the fortunes of the candidates.”
Both Pew and Gallup are instead marshaling their resources to find out what voters think about the issues…
Cliff Zukin, a professor of public policy and political science at Rutgers University: “They do not want to mislead the public and they don’t want to take a chance of not being able to do it well—it takes a lot more resources to do it well now.”
The former head of the American Association for Public Opinion Research, Zukin wrote wrote a June op-ed in the New York Times, detailing two major problems with polling right now: people who only have a cellphone, and people who don’t respond to pollsters.
While smaller polling outfits get around these problems by using automated surveys or seeking out respondents online, methods that some critics say can distort results, Pew and Gallup stick to more expensive traditional methods, Zukin said…
http://time.com/4067019/gallup-horse-race-polling/
btw CAGW-infested-invested Reuters is behind much of the spreading worldwide of the CNN fake post-debate poll, including at “theirABC”.
the ABC’s “US presidential debate: Donald Trump vows to hit Hillary Clinton harder in next matchup” in comment #39 is a Reuters piece, for example, & it has been carried worldwide.
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