The UK is home to the longest single running temperature series in the world, and Paul Homewood caught up with the latest data. Two hundred years before the first coal fired power plant opened the summer of 1666 was hotter than the summer of 2019 in the centre of the UK.
Global warming is “still within the noise”. There’s a warming trend there, but this fantastic long dataset rather puts it in perspective. Even though the 1680 – 1700 period is regarded as the depths of the Little Ice Age, even then, there was still the odd hot summer.
Paul Homewood was responding to the headlines of “Hottest late August Bank Holiday Monday on record!” The only thing that’s extreme about this summer in the UK is the climate propaganda.
With 2,000 possible permutations and combinations of records at that inane level, there’s a new record somewhere every day of the year, not to mention that there weren’t too many air conditioners, tarmacs or concrete towers back in 1700 to warm the thermometers then.
Summer Heatwaves? It Was Hotter In 1707!!
Paul Homewood, Notalotofpeopleknowthat
Last month was no warmer than 1801, 1842 and 1932.
The summer of 1976 still remains top of the list, but second hottest was way back in 1826.
Indeed there have been warmer summers on 28 occasions prior to 1900. Notably, one such summer was 1666, the 18th warmest. That was, of course, the year of the Great Fire of London, which swept through London between the 2nd and 6th of September.
Almost all human emissions have come out since 1945. Note the catastrophic effect.
Summer Temperatures England, last 400 years. (Click to enlarge)
Could it be that in a cooler, drier climate, we just get more extremes? The average might be cooler, but the maxes might just as hot as they are now.
Well spotted by Homewood. Did anyone at Hadley or the BBC make this point? All they had to do was grab that data and graph it….
Meanwhile the UK is spending billions to avoid hot summers?
‘Could it be that in a cooler, drier climate, we just get more extremes?’
Not necessarily drier in midlatitudes, a meandering jet stream and blocking high pressure will produce weather extremes. Its a global cooling signal, happening as we speak.
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Flooding events are usually accompanied by negative North Atlantic Oscillation.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818118307252
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We need some perspective here.
What’s meant by the term “extreme” with respect to temperature.
Let’s consider a few interrelated parameters.
First out Earth: the temperature of the transition point between the innermost core and the next layer is 6,000 °C.
Human activity is comfortably accommodated between 0° and 30°C.
At an altitude of say 10,000 metres the temperature is in the order of minus 38°C.
Further out into space the “temperature” is about minus 272°C.
Think about that.
The IPCCCCC is saying that temperatures will rise by up to 2C° if we don’t all go and live in bark huts on the shores of the Murrumbidgee river. Apart from the fact that human origin CO2 cannot create atmospheric temperature increases the effect of such change is something that humans can live with as demonstrated in the past.
Perspective please.
KK
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Extremes from one weather state to another. Take the Ashes Test, generally its been mild and wet because of a negative North Atlantic Oscillation.
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index.html
If the UK goes into winter with a negative NAO then they had better prepare the salt trucks.
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?
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To salt the icy roads!
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2.1 seems to have no connection with 2.0 so ?
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‘2.1 seems to have no connection with 2.0 so ?’
Yeah I wasn’t thinking straight.
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you forgot to mention China
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China is not our friend.
There you go, Gee aye. China mentioned. All fixed 😀
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Young leaf, try and focus on the post.
This is from the Schillereff et al paper above. The NAO has a modest link to our variable star.
‘Our late-Holocene palaeoflood reconstruction reveals nine multi-decadal periods of more frequent flooding (510–630 CE, 890–960, 990–1080, 1470–1560, 1590–1620, 1650–1710, 1740–1770, 1830–1890 and 1920–2012), and these show a significant association with negative winter North Atlantic Oscillation (wNAO) phasing and some synchrony with solar minima.’
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“ENSO predictions based on solar activity”
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2019/09/04/enso-predictions-based-on-solar-activity/
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The only extremes that matter is the ones the IPCC dictate, all other factual observations are simply an inconvenient truth.
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Nice post Jo. As someone who is interested in history
I think it is important to have that long term perspective
And remember that London burned
In that long dry English Summer of 1666
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And thanks to john cooknell
September 2, 2019 8:08 pm
Paul,
Parliament did declare a climate emergency during the reign of Charles 2nd just before the hot summers you describe.
The first time the UK Parliament declared such a thing was in 1661. History repeats itself exactly!
https://www.british-history.ac.uk/lords-jrnl/vol11/pp362-363#h3-0005
The Fast to be observed in Westm. Abbey, and the Bp. of St. David’s to preach.
“Whereas His Majesty hath been pleased, by Proclamation, upon the Unseasonableness of the Weather, to command a general and public Fast, to be religiously and solemnly kept, within the Cities of London and Westm. and Places adjacent: It is ORDERED, by the Lords Spiritual and Temporal, in Parliament assembled, That the Lord Bishop of St. David’s is hereby desired to take the Pains upon him, to preach before the Lords of Parliament, on Wednesday the Fifteenth Day of this Instant January in the Forenoon, in the Abbey Church of Westm. being the accustomed Place where their Lordships have used to meet upon the like Occasion.”
Samuel Pepys Diary
https://www.pepysdiary.com/diary/1662/01/15/
This morning Mr. Berkenshaw came again, and after he had examined me and taught me something in my work, he and I went to breakfast in my chamber upon a collar of brawn, and after we had eaten, asked me whether we had not committed a fault in eating to-day; telling me that it is a fast day ordered by the Parliament, to pray for more seasonable weather; it having hitherto been summer weather, that it is, both as to warmth and every other thing, just as if it were the middle of May or June, which do threaten a plague (as all men think) to follow, for so it was almost the last winter; and the whole year after hath been a very sickly time to this day. I did not stir out of my house all day, but conned my musique, and at night after supper to bed.
1. Samuel Pepys 21st jan 1661
It is strange what weather we have had all this winter; no cold at all; but the ways are dusty, and the flyes fly up and down, and the rose-bushes are full of leaves, such a time of the year as was never known in this world before here.
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Rutgers Global Snow Lab
Northern Hemisphere Snow Extent 1967-2019
https://climate.rutgers.edu/snowcover/chart_seasonal.php?ui_set=nhland&ui_season=1
Although nowhere as long as the UK’s 1659-2019 CET mean summer temp record (which clearly shows CO₂ has no effect on temperature as it is an effect, not a cause, of temperature fluctuations) the 52-year-long upward trend of NH snowfall extent proves the
devilmiracle gas of life is beneficial to the ski industry – totally anathema to the UN-theorists and followers of CCCrap™.Looking at the maps for this weekend and next week, both Australia (south-east) and NZ are in for a late winter battering of snowdelicious intensity – don’t put yer thermal underwear away just yet! September 23 is our Vernal Equinox this year and I tend to go with the astronomical Spring as opposed to the meteorological timing which, based on the man-made Gregorian calendar via Rome/Babylon, is so far out-of-whack the Greens probably believe in it… as well as their flatulent pink unicorns.
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another cr.p bar graph! At least the scale assists with visualising
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Do you have a graph to dispute Rutgers?
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I didn’t say the data is wrong. I just hate the graph. Once you’ve reviewed hundreds of papers submitted for publication you learn to hate bad presentation.
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G. I. Joe,
here’s their contact page – take it up with them if it irks you so:
https://climate.rutgers.edu/measures/snowice/?q=contact
I’m sure they’d be most humbly grateful to receive Your Reviewership’s critique of what ‘good’ presentation ‘should’ look like. Please let us know how you get on. Standing by…
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Here is a presentation you may like.
https://static.skepticalscience.com/pics/SnowExtent.gif
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El G,
That SkS animation is an absolutely pathetic piece of garbage propaganda pap.
Numbers at the side are inconsistent and wider apart on the downward trending summer graph, thus visually exaggerating the slope.
Just the sort of graph GG would like.. LYING with graphics.
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GA need pictures and charts without numbers, so he can comprehend. 😉
20
Are you mocking me? I’m telling on you.
10
You mock yourself with your own comments.
10
Bill in Oz – I too am an Aussie history wonk. I am currently reading vol 4 (of 4) of Churchill’s Life and Times of Marlborough, where Churchill quotes from contemporary letters of Marlborough (John Churchill, the first Duke) and several others referring to the ‘great frost’ of the first half of 1709, where rivers, lakes and even the sea froze between and over a large part of southern England, France, Belgium and the Netherlands. Not many thermometers then, but very sad story of many people freezing to death, failed crops, commerce stopped by road and ship, etc. And of course Marlborough, as leader of the Grand Alliance then fighting against Louis 14th of France, was frustrated at not being able to carry out his military activities until months later than usual. Fabulous historical writing. No wonder Sir W S Churchill was awarded a Nobel prize for literature!
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For the last 30 years there has been no significant increase in the CET record, in spite of increasing CO2. For the 30 years prior, temperatures trended downwards, again in spite of increasing CO2. If CO2 does what is claimed for it, then there should be an annual increase in temperature coincident with annual rises in CO2. This is not the case. Summer trends slightly down, Spring is flat, Autumn trends slightly up and Winter trends slightly down.
Current temperatures in the CET relative to the period 1959-1988 happened over a short period from 1986 to 1990, when they rose from 8.74 to 10.63C, a rise of 1.89 C, totally unrelated to CO2 and more likely related to the AMO: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0924796314000347. These temperature jumps have happened before in the CET, in both directions.
When annual differences in temperature in the CET are charted against annual differences in Mauna Loa CO2 figures, there is no correlation, CO2 does not raise temperature, cause and effect is absent.
“All they had to do was grab that data and graph it….” They much prefer to rely on anomalies and their favourite base period is 1961-90, which had some of the coldest periods of the 20th century, guaranteed to give positive anomalies.
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a major production by the Beeb:
3 Sept: BBC: Climate change: Greenland’s ice faces melting ‘death sentence’
By David Shukman
(Produced by David Brown, Robert Magee, Kate Stephens and Nassos Stylianou. Edited by Paul Rincon and Jonathan Amos)
During this year alone, it lost enough ice to raise the average global sea level by more than a millimetre.
Researchers say they’re “astounded” by the acceleration in melting and fear for the future of cities on coasts around the world…
Essentially because its ice sheet is seven times the area of the UK and up to 2-3km thick in places. It stores so much frozen water that if the whole thing melted, it would raise sea levels worldwide by up to 7m.
No one is suggesting that could happen for hundreds or even thousands of years but even a small increase in the rate of melting in coming decades could threaten millions of people living in low-lying areas…
One of the scientists studying the ice sheet, Dr Jason Box of the Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland (GEUS), says he’s unnerved by the potential dangers and that coastal planners need to “brace themselves”…
Recent years have seen hundreds of billions of tonnes of ice lost – and a rough guide to the effect on sea level is that 362 billion tonnes of melt raises the average ocean level by a millimetre…ETC ETC ETC
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-49483580
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Heat waves and cold waves coming close together are no annual thing, but they are a thing. It’s happened a few times recently, but now we get more detail more quickly, giving the impression of novelty. However, 1936 in N America was a terrible double whammy, as was 1896 in the N East of the US. 1899, year of the Great Blizzard, was also a heat wave year. In England, the 1976 drought/heat wave was followed by saturation and a miserable summer, and the 1975 summer which rivalled 1976 was punctuated by a freak cold snap in June which set record minima.
Not many details about that July 1707 heat wave in England, but it was remembered as a killer. Nonetheless, the coldest of springs and winters were just around the corner in 1708 and 1709. The ruinous cold, blizzards and storms of the early 1740s were, bizarrely, coupled with drought. The trough of the LIA around 1700 was not without extremes of dry and hot. Anyone who wants to live in a technically cooler time than this had better check the history books – and don’t skip over Ming China.
None of this new, none of this secret, all of this ignored. As with the recently issued engineering report of a certain building collapse, something can exist in plain sight but its existence can be totally ignored by every major media outlet. Easy peasy, when the shills and dice-loaders own the game and only pretend to compete with each other.
STOP GLOBALISM.
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‘Not many details about that July 1707 heat wave in England …’
July 19th was the killer day, the Sahara blast caused many deaths, but the interesting thing is the run up to that event. From approximately March 12 to May 22 the days were unusually hot and the nights cold, which gives us a clue to the atmospherics at the time.
The cold winter of 1708-09 was a shocker, the intense frost set in around mid January 1709 and lasted 50 days. April and May were also cold and wet, and the price of wheat soured by 200% in the following year.
By the time we reach the winter of 1715 the Thames was frozen for three months, it was a climate emergency.
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Greta the Prophetess needs to go on another fast / hunger strike
to save Gaia from freezing / burning / cooling / warming / weathering.
Absolutely no change is allowed – flatline fever only!
“I had no energy, no friends and I didn’t speak to anyone. I just sat alone at home, with an eating disorder”.
https://www.climatedepot.com/2019/08/31/teen-activist-greta-before-i-started-school-striking-i-just-sat-alone-at-home-with-an-eating-disorder-all-of-that-is-gone-now-since-i-have-found-a-meaning/
Meaning: Cult of the Cuckoo Clan (CCC).
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4 Sept: RechargeNews: Shift to tenders ‘three goal’ failure for German wind sector
Goals for installation targets, price cuts and diversity of players all missed since 2017 EEG reform, WWEA study finds
by Bernd Radowitz in Berlin
Germany’s government has missed all three self-imposed targets associated with a shift to tenders in the allocation of support for renewable energy, a joint study by the World Wind Energy Association (WWEA) and the Renewable Energy Association of North Rhine-Westphalia (LEE NRW) has found.
“The German government has missed all three goals, which it had linked to the introduction of auctions: neither has it reached its installation targets nor have the auctions achieved cost-effective results. Also the diversity of actors has suffered greatly since the beginning of 2017, which calls into question the acceptance of wind energy and the energy transition as a whole,” WWEA secretary general Stefan Gsänger said…
The study will be available in English next week, the German version can already be downloaded (LINK)…
At the same time, significant obstacles related to licensing laws, particularly in the areas of air traffic control, military airspace use and nature conservation, are preventing the further expansion of wind energy throughout Germany, the association said…READ ON
https://www.rechargenews.com/wind/1845585/shift-to-tenders-three-goal-failure-for-german-wind-sector
behind paywall in major NewsCorp papers tomorrow:
4 Sept: The West: Coal is still best for poor nations
by Bjorn Lomborg
Many western donors love the idea that instead of dirty, coal-fired power-plants, poor nations should ‘leapfrog’ straight to cleaner energy sources such as off-grid solar technology.
The World Bank is at the forefront of these efforts, no longer funding coal energy project
4 Sept: Inquirer Philippines: Green energy use to rise but coal to remain necessary
By Ronnel W. Domingo
Fossil fuel-based power generation is going to fade as expected amid steep dives in the cost of renewable energy technology, but coal—along with gas—will remain necessary for decades to come, according to the latest annual forecast of BloombergNEF.
The research firm—which has regional offices in New York, London and Tokyo—discussed this in a forum held yesterday at the Bonifacio Global City, even as anticoal activists demanded the government to impose a ban on new coal power plants.
BNEF’s New Energy Outlook 2019 shows that renewables like solar and wind power will follow the international trend of falling costs, but coal will remain the biggest contributor of electricity in the Philippines for at least two more decades…
“By 2050, wind and solar will provide 46 percent of total electricity [in the Philippines] with other renewables providing a further 11 percent,” Chua said. “We expect only 43 percent of the country’s electricity production to result from burning fossil fuels by 2050, down from 78 percent today.
Still, (Caroline Chua, BloombergNEF’s energy analyst for Southeast Asia) said coal-fired power generation would see a steady increase and remain the largest single source of electricity until 2041, although coal would reach its peak in 2034.
“By 2050, the Philippines will still have almost as much coal-fired generation as today,” Chua said. “While new renewables beat coal on a new-build basis, existing coal is relatively new and cheap to run.”…
https://business.inquirer.net/278184/green-energy-use-to-rise-but-coal-to-remain-necessary
4 Sept: LiveMint: Deals in India’s renewable sector decline amid waning interest from investors, developers
By Tanya Thomas
While the number of acquisitions of operating renewable energy power plants has dropped, bidding for new government projects have halved this year from the same period last year.
Developers blame the slowdown on uncertainty over power purchase agreements (PPAs) being honoured and a lack of financing for the sector…
Our database shows that there were more than 200 bidders for solar projects in 2015 but this number has fallen sharply to just about 30 developers in H1 2019…
https://www.livemint.com/industry/energy/deals-in-renewables-sector-decline-amid-waning-investor-interest-1567533276218.html
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Facts have nothing to do with Climate Change.
Despite being totally unsupported by facts, engineering or science, Presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren is promising $3Trillion to pay for Clean Energy within ten years.
‘Warren’s plan calls for trillions in spending over the next decade in order to make her ten-year goal a reality:
All told, a federal investment of $3 trillion will leverage additional trillions in private investment and create millions of jobs. And we will achieve:
By 2028, 100% zero-carbon pollution for all new commercial and residential buildings;
By 2030, 100% zero emissions for all new light-duty passenger vehicles, medium-duty trucks, and all buses;
By 2035, 100% renewable and zero-emission energy in electricity generation, with an interim target of 100% carbon-neutral power by 2030.
Warren also tried to extinguish concerns from coal workers and others in the fossil fuel industry, promising “early retirement benefits — job training, union protections, and benefits, and guaranteeing wage and benefit parity for affected workers,” according to her plan.
Warren’s broad climate change pitch pulled from many of her existing proposals, including her Clean Air and Water plan, Protecting Public Lands plan, Green Manufacturing plan, Clean Energy plan, Green Infrastructure plan, Sustainable Agriculture plan, and Tribal Lands plan.’
All Green gobblygook as usual and of course something to protect her Cherokee ancestors, which is not true either.
Finally, in true Bill Shorten socialist style, she is going to pay for all this by “getting rid of the Trump administration’s tax cuts.” Now that’s going to be a vote winner.
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In Queensland, currently very very dry atmosphere, and unusually hot in the daytime, but many centres reporting record and near record cold mornings. Rockhampton relative humidity on 3rd 5%; 7.3C that morning, 33.4C in the afternoons. Little moisture= rapid heating and cooling.
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The Thames froze over in the winter of 1634-35 and 1649, then in the following decade the freezing winters were associated with violent wind storms. By the 1660s it had now become dry and cold.
The winter of January 1662 was like summer and Samuel Pepys records that on January 15th a general fast was declared to intercede for colder weather. Uncharacteristic extremes are a sign of global cooling.
The pattern seems to be the same, generally cool wet conditions advance to the cold and dry Maunder.
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I do not recall the exact year but Shakespeare and his mates dismantled the Globe theatre and shifted it by horse and cart from northern bank of the Thames to the south bank, over the frozen river.
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There wasn’t a frost fair in 1599, here is some more on the fascinating history. They ended up in some marshy ground close to the river, with open fields behind.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Globe_Theatre
00
The first climate emergency!
https://chiefio.wordpress.com/2019/08/30/w-o-o-d-30-august-2019/#comment-116517
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1661!
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I don’t know how those poor Brits survive with a mean summer temperature of 14-16 °C. Just imagine how catastrophic a further 0.5-1.0 °C rise could be. Yes, definitely a climate emergency.
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This post has some sciency looking stuff in it. Really it does. It would look more sciency if that very unsciency bar graph was replaced by simple dots for each data point and the y-axis chosen to focus on the active region of the data (ie don’t include stuff that is way outside of the active range). Also, it looks like the graph is rooted at zero which of course is not true. So, data presentation 101 is don’t use bar graphs for non-accumulative data.
regards,
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Ah hah!
An Algore chart, reduce the vertical range to make any guesses about the future look more extreme.
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no… the data has fallen within a few degrees for the last few thousand years so you use the data to determine the scale. I mean you could start at -273 and extend it to 10000K or something if you really want to. The other thing to note about scale choice is likely measurement error. Each of those dots has a SE from measurement and the method used to estimate them (note these are estimates!). The scale range should exceed the extent of the error upper and lower bounds.
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… and if an attempt is made to plot a trend, the scale should accommodate the confidence limits to the trend (when was the last time you saw upper and lower limits on a trend line? sigh)
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How would you know anything about data presentation, GG
You don’t have any !!
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Was that an attempt at humour?
14
You don’t have any. !
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I could save you time and effort and just add your comments for you.
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poor gg, off to the knackery with you.
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Concur.
There’s a lot that has been reported that isn’t really standing out on the graph.
Extremes of cold and heat are Not showing.
KK
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Here is the detail.
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/
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This graph is what GA would’ve like to see
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Central_England_temperature#/media/File:20190731_Central_England_Temperature_(CET)_(annual_mean,_beginning_in_1659).png
Note – every site I checked, admitted that there is a data quality issue for the early records, but hey, that’s way to sciency for here.
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“that’s way to sciency for here”
Says the fool with ZERO science. !!
Note the urban expansion effect towards the end of the graph, as it impinges on once stable sites.
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I wonder how many people in the UK don’t like a bit of WINTER warming ?
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Warm winters? Yes please!
00
Really?
This is a list of the sites, and the problems associated with the early ones
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/Parker_etalIJOC1992_dailyCET.pdf
And your proof of urban expansion effect is?
05
Has been shown several times that many of the sites have been affected by urban warming.
Why don’t you actually pay some attention for a change.
How many times do you need to be shown basic facts !!
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no proof then
05
Irony is lost on you, PF.
COOLING this century , PF.
Get over it !
https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2012/09/11/wmo03749-middle-wallop/
https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2012/09/12/wmo03827-plymouth-mount-batten/
https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2012/08/30/wmo03772-heathrow/
https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/2012/09/10/wmo03743-larkhill/
Lots more.
Some 60% of the population of England now lives within an hours’ drive of the Peak district which can be considered the area CET is centred on. One of the stations used in recent times, Ringway, was situated near a rapidly expanding airport. It was retired in 2004. England at 130,000sq km and a population of 55 million, is less than the size of New York state at 141,000sq km with a population of 20 million.
MASSIVE URBAN EFFECT, PF !!
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A classic picture of a CET temperature site.
https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2015/11/radcliffe-weather-station-b.jpg
Rothamsted, now “sheltered by modern buildings
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2017/01/clip_image002_thumb8.jpg
Pershore College heated greenhouses
http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2017/01/clip_image006_thumb6.jpg
What Pershore used to look like
https://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2017/01/pershore_cet_1945.png
URBAN WARMING, PF.
With the sun’s help.
https://i.postimg.cc/hj4SxSyK/Solar_vs_CET..jpg
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reposted last link.
https://i.postimg.cc/Hk5PgR0m/Solar-vs-CET.jpg
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and none of those sites are used now
11
So funny (and DUMB) that you think there is no urban expansion in the UK.
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Also notice how the rise coincides with the AMO, just like it does in basically every other place in the NH.
It has actually flattened out this century, since that series of strong solar maxima during the latter half of last century
Urban Warming, Solar Warming, AMO.
Zero evidence of CO2 warming.
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This century: http://www.thegwpf.com/content/uploads/2018/03/Screen-Shot-2018-03-08-at-07.42.07.png
COOLING ! Yet, thankfully, Global CO2 continues to climb.
And Winter warming .
http://clivebest.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/CET-Seasons-1024×627.png
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I like the jump in temps around the 1740s.
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Whoa it’s a whole degree! PANIC!
It’s even
greaterGretabigger than the measly fraction ofemergencyan up-tick since the 90s.Maybe climate change will cause grapes to grow in the UK… unprecedented!
50
Oops…we already have some in our garden (Oxfordshire). And figs. Should we start to panic?
00
Gee aye would HATE that graph, PFfft,
such baaad presentation, what with the y-axis starting at 7˚C.
Expect a
rightroyal bølløcking from His Reviewership real soon…30
and where should it start?
14
There is no correct start point, depends on what you are looking for.
This from Weathernet, which indicates a slight cooling after a few chilling years.
1739: October, Easterly wind set in heralding frosts. The beginning of another ‘Big One!’.
1739-40: Severe winter, one of the worst. May have been worse than that of 1715 (?). Late December saw a severely strong Easterly gale set up, brining very cold air over the UK. Ice formed on the Thames, once again. Streets were blocked up with ice and snow, which made travelling hazardous. The Thames remained frozen over for about 8 weeks (?). Some reports said this winter was the most severe on record, with temperatures falling to -24c in early January (1995 beat this and holds the record for the coldest minima in the UK ever). The Easterly gale persisted, with snow and frost becoming an increasing hazard to all. Northerlies also started up, very strong in places, with again snow and ice. This winter can be noted as one of the most severe of all time (since records began).
1740: Coldest October on record, with ice already formed in parts. 1740 was very cold as a whole, the spring was also cold.
1742: Ice in the Thames, very cold once again.
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Thanks El G!
11
Cold easterly gales bringing ice and snow?
But… the frigid, frosty, Beast from the East was only spawned last year, 2018,
because of our (cough!) carbon pollution warming and d’nihilism, no?
Surely life was blissful and idyllic, tending the plough, back in ye olde 1700s…
“Ice in the Thames, very cold once again”. See? The perfect climate/temperature!
Oh, we won’t give in, let’s go living, in the past…
20
We are focussed on the depth of the LIA (which was a Bond Event) instead of the transition from MWP to LIA. So it seems more likely that the UK will experience sea floods and wind storms before a frozen Thames.
00
When ex-Dorian arrives in the British Isles next week,
– after causing snow to fall on south-east Greenland –
Scotland & Northern Ireland may be witness to some of those
‘sea floods and wind storms’ – and maybe a little early snow too.
That’ll sure confound the Believers!
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My first instinct, what was happening in the Pacific at the same time?
‘A published 700-year tree-ring reconstruction of the El-Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) shows that this cooling coincided with the transition to a strong La Niña event in the tropical Pacific in 1742, which is also consistent with a negative phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) suggested by our temperature tree-ring data from the Gulf of Alaska.
‘These conditions both favor zonal flow of the Pacific Jet Stream through the Aleutians, which manifests itself as strong, continuous westerlies and storminess that Steller describes in his journal of the voyage.’ Brandon Blake 2016
00
I’m 70 years of age, and I was born in the UK (England). I’ve lived here for all of that time, and readers can rest assured that whatever twaddle the media put out over here, the English climate hasn’t changed a jot.
To suggest that it’s changed on the basis of a few trivial temperature variations is laughable.
We had a pleasant warm spring, followed by a somewhat chilly summer, with quite a lot of rain. It’s typical for this country; nothing new at all.
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