Thursday Open Thread

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143 comments to Thursday Open Thread

  • #
    Hanrahan

    Imagine what would have happened during the Great War if everyone in France had a camera in their pocket and the ability to transmit images of the inhumanity, uncensored, around the world. Do you think the people of the warring nations would have been as willing to send their husbands/sons off to be butchered? I don’t.

    The US didn’t lose in Vietnam militarily, they lost in the living rooms of the nation and that photo of the naked girl running from the napalm was the last straw.

    Russia will not be able to sustain 500 casualties daily for long when the people at home can see, uncensored, how their soldiers are being used as cannon fodder, cold, hungry and miserable.

    2011

    • #
      robert rosicka

      Agree.

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    • #
      NigelW

      Hanrahan (and all others even remotely interested in the “Ukraine War”) I commend you to the youtube channels of Col. Douglas Macgregor, Alexander Mercouris, and Alex Christoforu for completely different views on how the battle is progressing.

      Big hint: Russia ISN’T losing ( but the Western Media and Governments would have you believe otherwise, you know, the same people who are sure of Climate Change, pushed C19 vexxines, and think we have inflation under control…)

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      • #
        robert rosicka

        Nigel I’ve just found out that all Russia was doing was liberating not bombing churches , kindergartens, schools , orphanages , shopping centres etc . And that it was Ukraine who invaded Russia committing terrible crimes against the poor Russian civilians. Even now Ukraine are targeting Russian power plants those nasty Ukrainians .

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        • #
          yarpos

          you seem blind to the abuse of ethnic Russians in Eastern Ukraine over decades

          I expect a vast swathe East of the Dnieper (a spelling?) River will become a DMZ wasteland eventually

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          • #
            robert rosicka

            If the Russians are winning the war I would hate to see what losing a war looks like .

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          • #
            robert rosicka

            I’ve said before that Ukraine are not exactly angels Yarpos , but the assertion that Russia is winning is absolute rubbish . And if anyone thinks the Russians invaded with noble intentions I have shares for sale for a bridge in Sydney .

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            • #
              Hanrahan

              I really don’t care much for Ukrainians, like the rest of that part of Europe, whether a slaughter of civilians rates as a war crime or not depends on who did the slaughtering.

              I care far less for Russians who have been sh1t stirrers since they welched on their deal with Hitler 80 years ago.

              The world has never known peace since, but let’s blame America, ay.

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        • #
          GlenM

          Well of course they would do that after all they have eaten Ukrainian babies after all! Sanitized propaganda from the usual sources and no divergence from the given narrative permitted.

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      • #
        Hanrahan

        I know the two Alexes, they are anti US Europeans. I listened to them for the European slant on the news. No more, but to be fair, you must seek out out some pro NATO news. Fair’s fair.

        27

        • #
          NigelW

          I don’t have to SEEK pro-NATO news, the GoogolFaceplex hammers it down your throat at every opportunity….

          And if I want pro-Uke war porn, there’s always Funker530…

          DO try and widen YOUR sources, they seem to be limited.

          For instance, you might want to seek out commentary from ACTUAL Russians and Ukrainians, not Western MSM (who have served us so well over the last 3 decades). You might discover, perhaps, that Kiev hospitals have suspended ALL elective surgeries, so they can operate on war casualties…something they didn’t need to do before they started “winning”.

          And absolutely have a listen to Col. Macgregor, especially his historical deep dives.

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      • #
        James

        I am listening to the. right now!

        I keep in touch with contacts in Russia. Putins popularity is 80 percent. I have no doubt that Russia will win this. Don’t believe what the western mainstream media tell you.

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        • #
          robert rosicka

          With any conflict there is always a catalyst that started a chain of events , seems to me from what information is freely available and does appear to be accurate there is a bit of a history between Russia and Ukraine not exactly being good neighbours.
          But this particular conflict probably started brewing when the Pro Russia former Ukrainian President was ousted from office , Putin himself wrote a piece on how Ukraine should never have been separated from Russia and his disdain for Ukrainian people .
          My take on this is Putin seeing the EU maybe NATO encroaching too close to the Russian border and imagining some threat that didn’t exist started by taking over Crimea with the full intention of eventually taking back the whole of Ukraine.
          What can you believe from the news ? Not much and social media even less , but there are some things that are plainly obvious , the intended 3 day war to take over Ukraine was a dismal failure , of all the land Russia gained most has now been retaken . Ukraine are not Bombing their own power and water infrastructure.

          30

          • #
            Ted1.

            Nobody is mentioning The Holodomor, by which Russians slaughtered millions of Ukrainians just 90 years ago.

            And nobody has noted that in recent times Russia’s population has been declining.

            30

      • #
        Skepticynic

        And to add to NigelW commendations, if you’re at all interested in the actual historical origins of this war rather than the story of unprovoked Russian invasion being fed to us over the corporate media, there is a lot of information in the form of lectures and interviews with John Mearsheimer available on you tube.

        For those unfamiliar with the name:
        John Joseph Mearsheimer is an American political scientist and international relations scholar, who belongs to the realist school of thought. He is the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor at the University of Chicago. He has been described as the most influential realist of his generation.(Wikipedia)
        Education:
        United States Military Academy (BS), University of Southern California (MA), Cornell University (PhD)

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    • #
      Len

      Joe Bidden was the Democrat Senator who led the denial of equipment for the South Vietnam Airforce and their Army’s Tanks. The South Vietnamese couldn’t fly their planes and drive their tanks all due to Joe Biden’s obstructions.
      Biden was a C word then and proved to still be a c word at the shambolic withdrawal from Alfghanistan.Biden wouldn’t let the US government supply food and shelter to the refugees. President Ford had to ask church organisations to provide shelter and food for the refugees.

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      • #
        Kalm Keith

        The Vietnam war was originally about removing the French, the Eating People, from Vietnam.

        Following the decisive 1954 victory over the French, there was then an internal struggle between North and South with each side having external supporters feeding the conflict.

        One little known fact was that the North took massive support from Russia and China which left a huge debt to be repaid.
        The South was propped up by the USA and a few others.

        Wars are always ugly and the average person rarely benefits.

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        • #
          Len

          The USA could have supported the French by air power from aircraft carriers but chose not to. The Globalists probably told their bought politicians to keep away.

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          • #
            Kalm Keith

            Nobody in Vietnam wanted the French occupiers to remain, neither North or South.

            From 1954 to 1975 the internal war was prolonged by the intrusion of China and Russia; now why were they involved?

            Now 47 years on we have China in charge of Tibet and other conquests plus an aggressive push in the South China sea. Russia, of course, has lost its initial hold on Vietnam and is giving the Ukraine and surrounds a bit of trouble.

            The new war being conducted against the West is via Vaxxines and lockdowns and Global Warming control mechanisms: no shots fired but total destruction of what was built since 1945.

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            • #
              Ted1.

              Such as is the standard of our modern education that I would expect most modern Australians believe that it was China backing North Vietnam in that war.

              It was Russia. During the period of the Vietnam War North Vietnam was also at war with China on their border. It was later that China dominated Vietnam.

              And nobody noticed that while the Vietnam War did not end on the terms originally anticipated, it did achieve the objective of holding up the Soviet war machine until it ran out of puff. After Vietnam the USSR had just one puff left, and it blew that in Afghanistan.

              Had there been no Vietnam War the USSR would have soon extended to our border.

              20

        • #
          Hanrahan

          The General who inflicted the humiliation on the French at Đien Bien Phủ had every intention of doing the same, in spades, to the Yanks at Khe Sanh. It didn’t work out that way.

          Anyone who thinks the Yank military can’t win battles must watch any of the docos on this battle.

          Starting with LBJ who micromanaged the war and insisted on unreasonable “terms of engagement” to Joe’s “whogivsachit’ withdrawal, the wars are lost in the White House.

          As an aside, not Sure Milley could command a success.

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    • #
      tonyb

      The Americans have a politically limited attention span and limited willingness to see things through to the end as they fail to set an overall long term plan. We saw that result in the aftermath of Iraq, the Vietnam war and running away in Afghanistan. The latter debacle has emboldened Russia China Iran And Korea. The Us is not a steadfast ally if the results of a military action are likely to be prolonged. The dictators of China and Russia are much more content to play the long game, China being a particular master of this.

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    • #
      YWNBAW

      2 more weeks and Russia is going to lose

      Been wrong every month since March but this time it’s real

      13

    • #
      KP

      “Russia will not be able to sustain 500 casualties daily for long”

      Why H? 500 is nothing in terms of half a million men in their forces. So long as they are killing more than 400 Ukies they will win, Russia’s population is more than twice the size.

      Then you have the realisation of the Russians that America will stop at nothing to destroy them, to them this is a war of existence. This is NATO moving in next door, something America said would never happen back when the USSR broke up.

      For the Yanks its yet another chance to print $US and use them to weaken Russia. They win all around, a chance to test their weapons against Russia, only a few boots on the ground, no threat to the American mainland, and they will make sure Europe is dependent on the USA and have no contact with Russia.

      For Ukraine its a continuation of the corruption and bribery that has existed since the Yanks overthrew the elected Govt in 2014. American taxpayer’s money goes in, the Ukie elites skim a whack of it and then it goes back into the pockets of the American elites. There’s a reason Bankman-Fried isn’t being held in jail or under a $500K bond, he’s living at his parents house with an anklet on.. What’s the bet he never makes it to trial?

      A good source of news is-
      https://warnews247-gr.translate.goog/?_x_tr_sl=el&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-GB

      If Musk does what he said and reinstates the 6 or 7 Twitter people who were banned for their reporting of what was actually happening on the ground in Ukraine, we would get a much better idea of how its going. Needless to say, Russia will not lose, Ukraine will be divided into its historical areas of Russian & Polish, Europe will be broken and America will move onto the next area it wants to destroy.

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  • #
    • #
      Graeme#4

      Recently another house garage went up in Perth, due to a faulty eBike or faulty charger. Two weeks ago, an entire house in Perth was lost due to charging lithiums in a back room. Often wonder if cheap chargers and batteries are to blame.

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      • #
        Harves

        In other news the toy ‘Elefun’ was banned after 30 years because the paper like butterflies it blows into the air could cause a facial injury. If only it used lithium batteries the nanny state would give it a pass.

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    • #
      tonyb

      I read yesterday that one third of UK train companies are refusing to take e-scooters on board citing their propensity to catch fire.

      50

  • #
    John+in+NZ

    The global warming people tell us we must decrease our CO2 emissions in order to reduce the growth of CO2 in the atmosphere.

    That seems to me to be a testable hypothesis.

    If a decrease in emissions causes a decrease in CO2 growth, it follows that an increase in emissions should cause an increase in CO2 growth. This should show up as a reasonable coefficient of determination (R squared) on a plot of change in emissions against change in CO2 growth..

    I downloaded the emissions and CO2 growth data, converted their units so they were both in gigatonnes of carbon (GtC) and then calculated the annual changes.

    I then plotted annual change in emissions against annual change in CO2 growth. Please click on this dropbox link and look at the graphs. and got the following graphs.

    https://www.dropbox.com/s/tdftvikwx2k8v34/Change%20in%20Emissions%20and%20Change%20in%20Atmospheric%20CO2%20Growth.doc?dl=0

    Now if this had resulted in an R squared of 0.3 and therefore a correlation of better than 0.5, I would be happy to concede this is good evidence that the rise in atmospheric CO2 was because of emissions.

    But an R squared of 0.0003 and a correlation of 0.017 is less convincing.

    Is this evidence that a change in human emissions has little influence on the growth of atmospheric CO2?

    There will be some who say “But we know emissions are causing the rise in CO2 because the isotope ratios show too much old carbon in the atmosphere.” However, the isotope ratio argument is based on the assumption that the natural sources and sinks of carbon are in balance. But since that is not necessarily so, the isotope ratio argument is invalid.

    But if human emissions are not causing the rise in CO2, what is?

    The obvious culprit is an imbalance in the equilibrium relationship between CO2 in the oceans and in the atmosphere. My theory is the physical processes and the chemical reactions that control the movement into and out of the atmosphere are temperature dependent and this shows up in the relationship between temperature and CO2 growth.

    When temperature is high, CO2 growth is high.
    When temperature is low, CO2 growth is low.
    When temperature is increasing, CO2 growth increases.
    When temperature is decreasing, CO2 growth decreases.

    https://www.dropbox.com/s/eqezgrmxkdsfsc1/UAH Temp vs CO2 Growth.doc?dl=0

    Importantly it also shows up in the relationship between change in temperature and change in CO2 growth.

    https://www.dropbox.com/s/l5v31wz9lnkg4mc/Change%20in%20UAH%20Temp%20and%20Change%20in%20Atmospheric%20CO2%20Growth.doc?dl=0

    For these graphs I have used the UAH temperature anomaly data, but you get similar results using NCEI, GISS, or HADCRUT5. I use the Northern Hemisphere Ocean data because Mauna Loa is in the NH ocean and also it gets a slightly better R squared than the globe data. I think this is because the lower troposphere temperature anomaly data is acting as a less than perfect proxy for ocean temperature.

    The idea that temperature and CO2 growth are corellated is not new although I don’t know who first noticed the relationship.

    There is a lot more I could say on this but my comment is long enough as it is.

    Please have a look at the graph of change in emissions versus change in CO2 growth. Notice how the values of change in emissions are small compared to the change in CO2 growth. Am I wrong in thinking there could be something other than emissions driving CO2 growth?

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    • #
      Memoryvault

      You could have saved yourself a great deal of time and effort just by reading, understanding, and applying Henry’s Law, John. Or even better, simply demonstrate it for yourself with two stubbies of beer.

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      • #
        John+in+NZ

        There is a bit more going on here than just Henry’s Law.

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        • #
          Memoryvault

          No, not really John.

          At any given time around 98% + of ALL CO2 in existence is dissolved in the oceans. In comparison the very, very minor fluctuations in the amount in the atmosphere is statistically insignificant.

          What changes occur happen because of changes in ocean temps, not because of puny man’s efforts. The warmer the water, the less CO2 (and O2) dissolved. The colder the water the more dissolved CO2 and O2. This is why the world’s major fishing grounds are in the cold North Sea and the cold Antarctic Ocean.

          The oceans have been warming for 150 years, so they have been outgassing CO2 and atmospheric levels have gone up a little bit. Now that the oceans have started to cool atmospheric CO2 levels will drop again.

          Crops will fail, billions will starve –
          but the fishing will be good!

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          • #
            John+in+NZ

            Hi Mv

            I do not disagree with anything you have said in this comment
            (apart from the ” No, not really John”).

            But I also already knew everything you said.

            The point I am trying to make here is more about the lack of relationship between change in emissions and change in CO2 growth.

            Please take a close look at the numbers and the logic of that and then tell me what is wrong with that.

            If I am right about that (and I may not be) then we can move on to the next problem of what is really happening.

            Yes, Henry’s Law is important, and I have some thoughts about that, but before we can go there, I need to know if the lack of correlation between change in emissions and change in CO2 growth is important.

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      • #
        John+in+NZ

        If Henry’s Law was all we had to take into account then the system would equilibrate.

        But it doesn’t.

        A decrease in temp does not result in a decrease in atmospheric CO2 concentration.

        It results in a decrease in the rate of increase, a decrease in growth.

        This means the system is in the process of equilibrating but it is not yet in equilibrium.

        I have some thoughts about waht this might mean but it isn’t what I am focusing on with this post.

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        • #
          Memoryvault

          A decrease in temp does not result in a decrease in atmospheric CO2 concentration.

          That’s because you are comparing ATMOSPHERIC CO2 levels which are miniscule and irrelevant. It’s the amount that is DISSOLVED that counts. Atmospheric CO2 levels are the RESULT of warming ocean temps, not the CAUSE of anything apart from increased crop yields.

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          • #
            Will Gray

            Yes the annual variation of c02 is greater than human contributions.

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          • #
            John+in+NZ

            Again, I do not disagree with your statements.

            You are not understanding the points I am trying to make but thank you for interacting.

            I don’t want to get into the details of the equilibrium relationship between the CO2 in the atmosphere and the oceans yet. Yes, it is important but it must come later.

            You say ” Atmospheric CO2 levels are the RESULT of warming ocean temps, not the CAUSE of anything apart from increased crop yields.”

            I agree completely.But there are details with that explanation that need further examination. But not yet.

            Please go back to the start of my argument and look at the relationship between change in emissions and change in the rate of increase in CO2 growth.

            Tell me what is wrong with that.

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            • #
              Jim Ross

              John,

              You are spot on here; well done. The key is to look at the rate of growth of atmospheric CO2, as you have found. The primary driver of the CO2 rate changes is the El Niño – Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which is also the primary driver for changes in global temperatures. Strong El Niño events show up (with a delay of a few months) as increases in atmospheric CO2 growth rate (above the general trend) and strong La Niña events show as decreases in growth rate below the general trend. In addition, the major Pinatubo eruption leads to lower atmospheric CO2 growth rates.

              Here is the effect of the 1997-1998 El Niño on atmospheric CO2 growth rate:
              https://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/esrl-co2/from:1995/to:2001

              And here is the 2015-2016 El Niño (not sure if this link will work):
              https://i.postimg.cc/hGPj4L8t/Monthly-CO2-at-MLO-2.jpg

              I have a number of plots available on postimage that support the above statements, but I need to see if these links work here first (they work fine on WUWT).

              In addition, if you look at the period from 2001 to end-2014 (i.e. the ‘pause’ between the two very strong El Niño events), you will find that estimated fossil fuel emissions steadily increased by about 0.2 GtC per year (R squared 0.98), while UAH global temperatures and atmospheric CO2 growth rates barely changed (CO2 growth: 0.02 GtC/yr, R squared 0.01).

              Finally, I recommend that you look at the observed variations in the 13C/12C ratio of the incremental atmospheric CO2. We know this must be important because the published models are unable to explain the inter-annual variations! I can provide further background info and links on this.

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              • #
                John+in+NZ

                Jim

                Thank you for this.

                You have given me a lot to think about.
                It will take me some time to process.

                I am trying to formulate an understanding of the equilibrium relationship between atmospheric and oceanic CO2 as I feel that is where the best chance of making successful predictions lies.

                I am still working out my hypothesis. It is not ready for public viewing yet but I am pretty confident we can use temperature to predict change in CO2 growth. If the world temperatures fall significantly and there is not a corresponding reduction in CO2 growth, then my hypothesis would be falsified.

                The other thing is that if emissions are not causing CO2 growth then worrying about Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity is a waste of effort.

                I am a big fan of questioning assumptions but it seems that questioning the idea that humans are the cause of rising CO2 is not allowed.

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            • #
              Jim Ross

              Here is a plot which shows the link between ENSO events, as characterised by the Oceanic Niño Index (ONI), and UAH Global Temperatures. ONI anomalies are based solely on sea surface temperatures in the Niño 3.4 region (three month rolling average):
              https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/ensostuff/ONI_v5.php

              I have de-trended the UAH data in order to match ONI which is, by definition, de-trended. ONI peaks correspond to El Niño events and the troughs correspond to La Niña events. Global temperatures generally track these very closely, both up and down, with a delay of about 4 months. Three exceptions are evident on the plot: two relate to major volcanic eruptions (El Chichón, 1982, and Pinatubo, 1991), where global cooling was significant enough to mask the effect of the El Niño events near the time of the eruptions, and the third one is just a ‘blip’ around mid-2004, for which I have not seen any explanation. The Hunga Tonga–Hunga Haʻapai eruption (Dec 2021-Jan 2022) does not appear to have had any noticeable effect on global temperatures.
              https://i.postimg.cc/W4Zrd5Mk/ONI-and-UAH-fig5.jpg

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              • #
                John+in+NZ

                All links are appreciated. Thanks.

                That’s a pretty good match between ONI and UAH temps.

                10

              • #
                Jim Ross

                John,

                You are most welcome, not least because you are actively pursuing areas that I have also been studying. A word of caution, if I may. Many commenters, particularly on WUWT, make a big deal of the fact that temperature is an absolute value whereas rate of growth is a derivative. They then take the derivative of a specific temperature record (SST, global, …) in order to compare them mathematically. In my view, this is not the answer. I think the change in rate of CO2 growth is more likely to be a function of a rapid shift in flux content (and/or a temperature or pressure difference) across a boundary, such as the ocean-atmosphere interface. It clearly acts more like a switch in the case of the two El Niño examples which I showed above – essentially, the growth rate doubles almost immediately the effect ‘kicks in’. There is no ‘S’ curve shape to the increased growth rate that might reflect the increase/decrease in temperature seen in the SST or global temperature response (the assumption of which leads a number of respected commenters to invoke phase shifts and the like). Think about the flux changes that must occur as part of the ENSO process. During an El Niño, for example, the upwelling of cold, nutrient rich, waters in the eastern Pacific are severely restricted by the over-lying eastward spreading warm surface waters.

                I like to keep in mind the following NOAA statement:
                “The El Niño / La Niña climate pattern that alternately warms and cools the eastern tropical Pacific is the 800-pound gorilla of Earth’s climate system. On a global scale, no other single phenomenon has a greater influence on whether a year will be warmer, cooler, wetter, or drier than average.”
                https://www.climate.gov/news-features/featured-images/slow-slosh-warm-water-across-pacific-hints-el-ni%C3%B1o-brewing
                (h/t Bob Tisdale for the link)

                Note that the 13C/12C ratio of the incremental atmospheric CO2 is significantly different between major El Niño and La Niña events, and yet is constant when averaged over longer periods. I have not seen anyone else discuss or publish about this very important observation. This ratio has not changed since the start of the industrial revolution if you accept the Law Dome ice core data.

                Good luck with your work. I shall be keeping a look out for it!

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            • #
              Kalm Keith

              John,
              Putting aside the actual thermodynamics for a moment; the amount of human origin CO2 in the atmosphere makes any idea of blaming us for whatever CO2 does a bit irrelevant.

              https://joannenova.com.au/2012/10/man-made-global-warming-disproved/#comment-1130169

              Atmospheric human origin CO2 is about 16 parts per million.
              Natural origin CO2 is the rest; about 396 ppm.

              10

  • #
    DD

    Mark Dice, at his very best, discusses what is wrong with society today, or, more specifically, what is wrong with people today.
    https://youtu.be/rUiWimDj71Y
    (8.5m video)

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  • #
    yarpos

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nyc-electric-garbage-truck-plans-hit-wall-after-trucks-conked-out-plowing-snow-after-just

    You would think they would have had specs for what their trucks needed to do. But no, at half a mill USD we will just buy them and see how it goes.

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    • #
      another ian

      Well they don’t read the specs on wind or solar so why would you think that?

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      • #
        yarpos

        dont know who your “they” is but I was thinking of the engineering department and purchasing departments of one of the largest cities in the USA. I’d expect a)competence and b) formality in the purchasing process.

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        • #
          Sambar

          “I’d expect a)competence and b) formality in the purchasing process.”

          You Sir, expect to much, I would suggest, without bias, that you are old enough to remember when “COMPETENCE” used to be part of your job description and primarily what you where reviewed on.

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          • #
            Hanrahan

            To be competent today means you are a white suprematist.

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          • #
            yarpos

            We were reviewed against achievements against agreed objectives and not much else. I guess you can say competence and achievements are closely linked if the objectives are meaningful and not mealy mouthed drivel.

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          James Murphy

          Purchasing or contracting decisions are more and more in the hands of the “finance” department -they apparently know what’s best without needing to consult anyone else.
          I have lost count of the times that oil & gas companies have awarded contracts to the lowest bidder, and, a few months later, said lowest bidder says they cant make a profit and begs for price increases, or they provide a really poor quality service because they cant make money if they provide what they are supposed to, or, they just back out of the contract entirely because they will, or have lost money.
          Any due diligence on the part of the O&G company should weed out the tenderers who clearly under-bid, but that would need some understanding of what is a reasonable price point for a service, and that doesn’t seem to happen much any more.
          The company submitting their tender should also know what is profitable, and what is not, and this also can be decided by people who have no idea what they are doing, but still need to be seen to be trying to win tenders because it’s one of their yearly objectives.

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    • #
      Graeme#4

      Perhaps an engineering section without engineers?

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  • #
    John Connor II

    Are you smarter than AI? Computer language model the clear winner over people in IQ tests

    Are you smarter than artificial intelligence? A new study finds one revolutionary program is putting human intellect to shame.

    Researchers from UCLA have found that the autoregressive language model Generative Pre-trained Transformer 3 (GPT-3) clearly outperforms the average college student in a series of reasoning tests that measure intelligence. The program uses deep learning to produce human-like text. GPT-3, a technology created by OpenAI, has a host of applications, including language translation and generating text for applications such as chatbots.

    It’s currently one of the largest and most powerful language processing AI models, with 175 billion parameters.

    Is GPT-3 a mechanical ‘genius’?
    The new study looked at the program’s ability to match humans in three key factors: general knowledge, SAT exam scores, and IQ. Results, published on the pre-print server arXiv, show that the AI language model finished in a higher percentile than humans across all three categories.

    “We found that GPT-3 displayed a surprisingly strong capacity for abstract pattern induction, matching or even surpassing human capabilities in most settings. Our results indicate that large language models such as GPT-3 have acquired an emergent ability to find zero-shot solutions to a broad range of analogy problems,” researchers Taylor Webb, Keith Holyoak, and Hongjing Lu write in their report, which is still awaiting peer-review.

    The team adds that GPT-3, “has been forced to develop mechanisms similar to those thought to underlie human analogical reasoning — despite not being explicitly trained to do so… through a radically different route than that taken by biological intelligence.”

    AI expert and author Dr. Alan D. Thompson suggests that GPT-3 displays an IQ above 120. No surprise, this falls into the category of “gifted.”

    https://arxiv.org/abs/2212.09196v1

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    • #
      John Connor II

      Meanwhile…

      Artificial Intelligence fails qualifying exam for radiologists — not ready for major surgery

      LONDON — Artificial Intelligence (AI) is not ready to take over for doctors and perform major surgery or examinations, a new study reveals. Researchers in the United Kingdom report that a robot program failed a major radiology test — which serves as a qualifying benchmark for medical trainees.

      AI is increasingly being used for some tasks that doctors carry out, such as interpreting radiographs, x-rays, and scans to help diagnose a range of conditions. However, the program in this study was unable to pass one of the qualifying radiology examinations, suggesting the technology is not yet ready to replace human medics in more serious situations.

      Researchers compared the performance of a commercially available AI tool with 26 radiologists, mostly between 31 and 40 years-old. Sixty-two percent of the human participants were female. All the candidates passed the Fellowship of the Royal College of Radiologists (FRCR) exam the previous year. The test is taken by U.K. trainees in order to qualify as radiology consultants.

      What was on the test?
      Study authors developed 10 “mock” rapid reporting exams, based on one of three modules that make up the qualifying FRCR paper designed to test candidates for speed and accuracy. Each mock exam featured 30 radiographs at the same or a higher level of difficulty and breadth of knowledge expected for the real FRCR exam.

      To pass, candidates had to correctly interpret at least 27 (90%) of the 30 images within 35 minutes. Researchers trained the AI candidate to assess chest and bone (musculoskeletal) radiographs for several conditions including fractures, swollen and dislocated joints, and collapsed lungs.

      Allowances were made for images relating to body parts that the AI had not been trained in, which were deemed “uninterpretable.” When uninterpretable images were excluded from the analysis, the AI got an average overall accuracy of 79.5 percent and passed two of 10 mock FRCR exams. Meanwhile, the average radiologist achieved an average accuracy of 84.8 percent and passed four of 10 mock examinations.

      The sensitivity — or the ability to correctly identify patients with a particular condition — for the AI candidate was 83.6 percent, compared with 84.1 percent for the radiologists tested. The specificity — or the ability to correctly pick out patients without a certain illness — was 75.2 percent for the AI and 87.3 percent across all the humans who took the exams.

      Across 148 of 300 radiographs that were correctly interpreted by more than 90 percent of radiologists. The AI candidate was correct in 134 (91%) and incorrect in the remaining 14 (9%). In 20 out of 300 radiographs that over half of radiologists interpreted incorrectly, the AI candidate was incorrect in 10 (50%) and correct in the remaining half.

      https://www.bmj.com/content/379/bmj-2022-072826

      Well, AI is very close to the humans.
      Perhaps of more concern is the fact that the people only passed 4 out of 10 mock exams.

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      John in NZ

      Those iq tests are too hard. They need to make them easier. I mean, half the people who do the test get less than average.

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      • #
        Honk R Smith

        AI’s failures are the result of centuries of Human Supremacy.
        Human Supremacy also causes Climate Change.
        But nothing will change until Pharma is given legal immunity and billions of tax dollars to develop drug treatments for AI.
        My computer is exhibiting signs of depression.
        It seems hesitant.
        Probably caused by Human Supremacist disinformation.
        We can’t tolerate hesitancy.
        Human Supremacy on social media and the exploitation of nature must be stopped.

        – Loretta

        50

  • #
    John Connor II

    Elon Musk Announces New Twitter Policy To Allow Scientific Debate

    Twitter CEO Elon Musk said in a tweet Wednesday he is enacting a new Twitter Policy related to post on the platform about science.

    “New Twitter policy is to follow the science, which necessarily includes reasoned questioning of the science,” Musk wrote.

    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/elon-musk-announces-new-twitter-policy-allow-scientific-debate

    Crying booths and emergency oxygen on standby for woke liberals.😆😆

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    • #
      Harrison

      “reasoned questioning of science “
      This hopefully means evidence based, like science has been operating for centuries.
      Not cherry picked data that sways the armchair experts but fails review.

      90

  • #
    David Maddison

    Dissident scientist William M. Briggs talks about fixing broken science.

    https://rumble.com/v20h6nj-53-william-m.-briggs-on-fixing-broken-science.html

    40

  • #
    David Maddison

    Universities now turn out graduates such as:

    Arts graduates who hate Shakespeare.
    Doctors who can’t do medicine.
    Engineers who can’t engineer.
    Scientists who can’t do science.

    90

    • #
      David Maddison

      William Briggs was a co-author of the book:

      The Price of Panic: How the Tyranny of Experts Turned a Pandemic Into a Catastrophe

      80

  • #
    John Connor II

    Young Man Died From ‘Happy Heart Syndrome’ After Argentina’s World Cup Victory

    A 26 year old man collapsed after suffering a heart attack two hours after Argentina’s win in the World cup.

    A young Egyptian man died from what’s known as “happy heart syndrome” while celebrating in downtown Cairo after Argentina were crowned champions at the Qatar 2022 World Cup.

    “A young man from Shubra district died two hours after the match (between Argentina and France) because of his immense happiness after Leo Messi‘s win. We have to learn a lesson from what happened, we don’t have to exaggerate in expressing our sadness or happiness,” cardiologist Gamal Shaaban said on Facebook.

    The 26-year-old, identified as Mostafa Abdel Aal, watched the final in a coffee shop in the center of the Egyptian capital with his friends and, upon arriving home posted a message on social media praising Messi and expressing that it was “the best day of his life.”

    Immediately after, the young man collapsed after suffering a heart attack and was taken to a nearby hospital, where he died as a result of “happy heart syndrome,” a rare heart condition that can develop in cases of “immense happiness,” according to Shaaban, who served as former director of the Egyptian National Institute of Cardiology.

    https://www.marca.com/en/world-cup/2022/12/20/63a216a722601da2028b45f5.html

    About as convincing as a HAARP induced bomb cyclone in the USSA.😎

    70

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    • #
      Honk R Smith

      The desire to break windows and set cars on fire is an early warning symptom.
      Public health authorities need to address this issue immediately.
      Post soccer rioting is a medical issue and law enforcement is inappropriate.
      If you see someone expressing happiness extremism contact authorities.
      Sports lockdowns could save lives.

      (Sorry, the only appropriate response to modern culture, sadly including science and medicine, is mockery.)

      – Loretta

      50

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    David Maddison

    Oh, FFS!

    Happy Heart Syndrome?

    60

  • #
    John Connor II

    Germany’s Public Television Suggests Bathing Once A Week Would Be Beneficial

    “What if we showered/bathed only once a week?”

    What the BBC is to Great Britain, are what the WDR and ARD public broadcasting are to Germany in terms of television and radio presence.

    Just some weeks ago, the Instagram site of WDR kugelzwei presented some tips that save heat and energy for citizens to consider: showering only once a week.

    The “benefits” of showering only once a week

    Supposedly, there are in fact numerous benefits from showering much less frequently, according to ZDF’s kugelzwei. For example, people would maybe learn to become “a little more tolerant of body odor”, and the unwashed would save time in the bathroom every morning.

    Use sinks, not showers

    Moreover, fitness studios could replace showers with just plain sinks. After a sweaty workout, one could freshen up in cubicle with with a simple sink and a washcloth instead of using a shower cubicle.

    Make the weekly shower a public social event

    Another idea proposed by the WDR’s kugelzwei is public bathing: “Maybe showering or bathing could become a weekly highlight,” they suggest. “We would celebrate this in public bathhouses – perhaps also in the company of others.”

    https://notrickszone.com/2022/12/28/germanys-zdf-public-television-suggests-bathing-once-a-week-would-be-beneficial/

    “Showering a weekly highlight”?😆😆😆😆
    Grow long hair, drive a Subaru Leone and hug trees too?😁

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      John in NZ

      Compared to my normal twice year, once a week seems a bit excessive.

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      • #
        Greg in NZ

        Had a couple of bodysurf sessions in the Pacific today: a bit of salt, sand, sunshine & rinse – I’m good to go til next year 😃

        70

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      John B

      Lived in Sussex for one year, 1973-74, and frequently caught the tube. I don’t think many people showered or bathed more than once a week. Getting off the train was a relief.

      70

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      James Murphy

      Based on the odour of some people on the Paris metro, bathing once a week would be an improvement.

      50

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    John Connor II

    Biodegradable medical gowns worse for the environment than plastic options

    When the COVID-19 pandemic hit, so did the demand for disposable medical gowns. Fast-forward to the present day and you’ll find most of these medical gowns sitting on top of landfills. Now, researchers at Cornell University say that even disposing of the “greener” biodegradable medical gowns has contributed to harmful greenhouse emissions.

    A lot of single-use plastic medical gowns are either conventional or biodegradable. The biodegradable version is advertised as a greener option because it decomposes faster than typical plastic. This would, in theory, take up less space in landfills and emit less greenhouse gases. However, study authors found it was the opposite, with biodegradable medical gowns introducing harsher greenhouse gas discharges.

    “There’s no magic bullet to this problem,” says Fengqi You, a Roxanne E. and Michael J. Zak professor in energy systems engineering, in the Smith School of Chemical and Biomolecular Engineering, in a university release. “Plasticized conventional medical gowns take many years to break down and the biodegradable gowns degrade much faster, but they produce gas emissions faster like added methane and carbon dioxide than regular ones in a landfill.”

    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0959652622047278

    Strange how the WEF-based green agenda is making everything worse across the board…😎

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    • #
      David Maddison

      Strange how the WEF-based green agenda is making everything worse across the board…

      Not strange at all.

      It’s all part of the plan.

      100

    • #
      Sambar

      Ah plastics, so many are actually made from the “stuff of life” its funny how we can call them pollutants
      P.E C2H4
      PP (C3H6)n
      PS (C8H8)n
      PET (C10H8O4)n

      So “dreaed ” polutants are good old CARBON, HYDROGEN, OXYGEN, and NITROGEN. What is the main decomposition process, at a guess I would say CO2 and WATER.

      50

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    John Connor II

    Twitter live space: top doctors reveal all about Covid

    https://twitter.com/i/spaces/1jMJgLnrYajxL

    Audio, 4 hours…

    30

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    John Connor II

    Italy says 50% of all passengers on two flights coming to Milan from China had Covid

    https://twitter.com/TheInsiderPaper/status/1608179061188186116

    Guess what’s coming up.😁

    80

    • #
      John Connor II

      The igG4 story is going “viral”.
      Things are about to get very interesting.

      Unvaxxed? Lucky you.😎

      70

    • #
      Custer Van Cleef

      How many of them ‘live and work’ in Italy?

      300,000 according to reports I saw a few years ago.

      They work in poor conditions in Chіnese owned factories making products that will be branded ‘made in Italy’ or ‘Prodotto di Italia’.
      So if you buy your lady friend a leather handbag that you think was made by an ancient, Italian family of artisans … er … think again.

      Another con was — maybe 10 years ago — Brits thought they were buying ‘Italian’ canned tomatoes off their supermarket shelves.
      Someone uncovered the scandal: the tomatoes were actually shipped from Chіna to Italy, as concentrate in barrels, then some local water was added to dilute them a bit, during the canning stage. Apparently, diluting with local water qualifies it as a ‘Product of Italy’.

      Which supermarket chain was that? … Aldi? … Anyway, some budget outfit with no ethics.

      Just some examples of the Brave New World awaiting us under the boot of the globalists.

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        Sambar

        “Another con was — maybe 10 years ago — Brits thought they were buying ‘Italian’ canned tomatoes off their supermarket shelves.”

        A fairly standard practice I’m afraid. A well known brand of canned tuna was labelled product of Australia yet the tuna was caught in international waters and processed in Thailand. Apparently the can and labour used was enough to bring its “Australian ” content up meet the criteria “Product of Australia”. Frozen vegetables labelled “Product of New Zealand” where also using Chinese frozen veggies but by packing them in NZ using NZ pay rates and packaging had the same effect to bring them into the “Product of New Zealand” category.
        These days the product labelling is along the lines of “Produced in Australia using local and imported ingredients” . Had an argument with one of the big supermarket chains over their house brand sugar with the “imported ingredients” label. What part was imported, well the sugar actually, from Brazil. Same supermarket often advertises supporting Australian farmers. I asked why was sugar being imported and was fed a BS line about a cyclone wiping out the Oz crop. I advised that Australia actually export millions of tons that year, strange , no further correspondence was entered into.

        90

      • #
        Hanrahan

        NZ sells Chinese products into OZ under our FTA not marked as product of China.

        Canada and Mexico did the same with Chinese steel into the US. Trump’s new and improved NAFTA stopped that.

        I’m hissed that I can’t afford Australian bacon but always look for Australian content [as a %] on ham and other goods. Ham on the bone is all Australian, but imported packaging or seasoning will reduce Au content to 90%. That’s OK.

        50

        • #
          KP

          Ah yes, the bacon I have been buying for ages says ‘Australian ingredients average 48%’… but the ingredients list ‘Pork (90%), water, salt dextrose..etc

          So half the pork is imported?

          10

    • #
      John B

      Remember when Trump called it the Kung Flu and was labeled racist. Then all the celebs or wannabes flocked to the nearest China Town and had a fried rice and hugged the nearest Chinese looking person.

      90

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    David Maddison

    What’s with the supposed outbreak of covid in China?

    Is it real or propaganda?

    If real, what strain is it?

    Are Chinese particularly susceptible for some reason?

    As for Vitamin D levels in China:

    https://nutritionj.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12937-016-0224-3

    The prevalence of vitamin D levels <50 nmol/l among Chinese adults is 34.3%, which is similar to that of the Canadian population (36.8%) [16], slightly lower than that of the European population(40.4%) [17] and higher than that of the US population (24%) [18].

    110

    • #
      Hanrahan

      I think the problem is real but because of their rabid lockdown policy there could be multiple strains, including delta, spreading simultaneously.

      50

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    John Connor II

    Ice age coming?. (For real this time)

    What we do know is that there were tiny changes in Earth’s orbit. These events are known as Milankovitch cycles. They are believed to have driven the planet in and out of these ice ages. However, it is also now assumed that these Milankovitch cycles have not correlated to the sudden jump in nearly doubling the Ice Age cycle length.
    Preliminary data from Antarctic Ice Core saw a transition from glacial to interglacial conditions about 430,000 years ago which is known as (Termination V). This transition into the present interglacial period needs to be looked at from intensity using our Energy Models. Scientists look at the magnitude of change in temperatures and greenhouse gases. What seems to be overlooked is the cycle of these warming periods. The interglacial stage following Termination V was quite long running the course of about 28,000 years compared to the 12,000 years period so far in the present interglacial period.

    What this is warning is that an Ice Age is not entirely out of the question post-2032. I am awaiting access to the data from the 2.7 million-year core and then run it through Socrates to see if we are indeed going to see a 12,000-year interval or a doubling effect. What does appear to be likely, which explains the frozen animals in Siberia, is that we can see an Ice Age hit within less than 10 years.

    https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/climate/ice-age-the-come-rapidly/

    The day after tomorrow, for real…

    60

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    David Maddison

    Has anyone had a chance to go through this list yet?

    List of WEF acolytes.

    Who can you find?

    Courtesy of The Malone Institute and The Pharos/Media Foundation.

    https://maloneinstitute.org/wef

    50

    • #
      David Maddison

      As hyperlinked above, WEF chairman Klaus Schwab has famously claimed that these operatives have been strategically inserted into key positions in various governments, as well influential positions in important industries such as media, finance, and technology.

      60

      • #

        Davos Man – sigh…

        Haven’t we had enough of these philosopher kings, Plato, Trilateral Commission, WEF,
        meeting at mountain resorts to plan their top down solutions for society? Policy by elites
        and pertaining to the rest of us, government from afar by un-elected, decision makers,
        but you WILL be happy for one small group knows what is best”‘

        50

        • #

          Yes “THEY” will decide what’s best for us because “THEY” have $ billions more than us which allows “THEM” to afford to buy whatever influence “THEY” they need to make even more money and ensure that “WE THE PEOPLE” continue as indoctrinated pawns in this predictable process.

          Follow the money.

          10

    • #
      Chris

      George Christensen has a blog and is adding to his list of ( Australian) Davos men.
      Yesterday’s blog.

      “David Thodey is a prominent Australian businessman based in Sydney who has enjoyed a staggering number of high-profile appointments despite completing only a Bachelor of Arts degree and a general management course.
      He has been gifted several honorary awards and an Order of Australia for his work in the business world since.
      Thodey is the Chair of Tyro Payments, Australia’s largest EFTPOS provider, and also Chair of accounting software company Xero.
      He also sits on the Boards of both Ramsay Health Care, the largest private provider of hospitals in Australia, and Vodafone.
      His prior appointments are even more impressive: Thodey was CEO for IBM Australia and New Zealand in 1999-2001, CEO of Telstra from 2009-2015, and Chair of the CSIRO Board from 2015-2021.
      Curiously, David Thodey had a prominent voice in Australia’s response to COVID-19, being Deputy Chair of the National COVID-19 Coordination Commission (NCC) Advisory Board.

      In 2018, Thodey was appointed by Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull to chair an independent review of the Australian Public Service, overseeing the ‘Thodey Report’ — one of the key documents driving Australia’s push towards a digital identity.
      Recommendation 16 of the Thodey Report called for a “single digital identity solution where the public are able to verify to public and private service providers who they are” to act as “a single access point to all government services”.
      Thodey called for at least $1 billion per year in funding towards “digital transformation” in Australia’s public service.
      Digital ID has been a centrepiece of the World Economic Forum’s agenda since 2019, the same year the Thodey Report was released.
      Thodey attended the WEF’s Davos Summit in both 2014 and 2015.
      He also oversaw WEF agenda items embedded into CSIRO’s 2021-22 Corporate Plan.
      These profiles help to illustrate the extent of the World Economic Forum’s reach into Australia’s corporate and non-profit sectors and politics.

      They also raise questions about conflict of interest, when people in lucrative corporate positions, connected to an agenda-driven globalist body are the same people setting Australia’s domestic policy agenda from taxpayer-funded appointments.”

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    David Maddison

    It would be interesting to compile a list of all the reasons blamed on covid mRNA vaccine induced heart failure.

    So far:

    “Happy heart” – dying from excess happiness.

    Artificial sweeteners.

    Sudden Adult Death Syndrome?

    Heat?

    Cold?

    70

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    Greg in NZ

    How high can high pressure get? Yesterday, on theirBoM’s global isobaric map, a high pressure cell was lurking over Siberia with the never-before-seen (by me) number of 1053 (mb/hp). Today it was downgraded / adjusted to 1049. Either side of it, ie. Scandinavia & Alaska, were very deep, very low pressure storms (nature’s balancing act as usual).

    In all my years of weather watching I’ve never seen high pressure so high: was this another case of BoM’s numerical jiggery-pokery or can the Siberian winter aid & abet such numbers?

    70

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    John Connor II

    JC2 Freebies Thursday

    Free educational material for all.

    Virology 101: https://www.virology.ws/virology-101/

    Virology for beginners: https://letmywordsbefew.home.blog/2020/03/25/virology-for-beginners-lesson-1/

    Ebooks library:
    https://lib-ebooks.com/

    and another:

    https://avalonlibrary.net/ebooks/

    30

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    Custer Van Cleef

    ‘How to Drag the Chain’ … at Britain’s Office for National Statistics:

    For the following dataset, the pattern of release was new data every 2 months. The last release was July 6.

    “Notice

    31 October 2022

    There will be a delay in publishing the next edition of the deaths by vaccination status dataset as we require data on subsequent booster vaccinations and will be updating to the 2021 Census populations. The next publication date will be announced on the release calendar when this is confirmed.”

    Oh dear, December nearly over and still no new data after five months? What could be the hold-up? The data not supporting the “safe and effective” mantra?

    80

    • #
      James Murphy

      Maybe they have no one in the department who knows how to compile or calculate statistics.
      Their one Microsoft Excel guru was cancelled, and the whole department is now lost…

      40

  • #
    John Connor II

    SouthWest airlines now firing people for being sick

    https://twitter.com/DrEricDing/status/1608004037584244738

    First – no jab, no job.
    Now – call in sick, no job.
    Next – SW Air bankruptcy.

    40

    • #
      yarpos

      Late in my career I did a business Grad Dip. I recall at the time South West Airlines were case study material for excellent customer service and motivated staff at all levels. Now they are case study material again it seems, but not so flattering material this time. Things change in 20 years.

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  • #
    el+gordo

    Its all about climate change, that’s all that matters.

    ‘Younger voters have flocked to Labor in the biggest shift among all age groups since the federal election, increasing their core support for the new government from 31 to 42 per cent while shunning the Coalition and others.

    ‘The powerful shift has compounded the gains to Labor at the May election and highlighted a structural challenge for Opposition Leader Peter Dutton in keeping a crucial voter cohort that has slashed its support for the Liberal Party to historic lows.’ (SMH)

    20

    • #
      James Murphy

      When the Liberal and national Parties are portrayed as being on a par with Hitler by virtually all the media in the country, then what does one expect?
      It doesn’t help that then LNP is clueless and cannot differentiate itself from Labor/Greens in any noticeable way.

      60

      • #
        Memoryvault

        The Liberal and National parties were portrayed as on a par with Hitler because the Liberal and National parties, as government, behaved just like the Nazis of WWII.

        How quickly you seem to have forgotten the lockdowns, a million and a half thrown out of work overnight, mile long queues at the Dole office, vaxxine mandates – no jab, no job – vaxxine passports in order to travel more than five kilometres, bureaucrats, police and trade unions making up the rules as they went along, and more. All under a Coalition federal government.

        What next? It was all Whitlam’s fault?

        32

        • #
          James Murphy

          You very wrongly seem to think I am defending the actions of the previous federal government. Perhaps pause for thought before firing all guns next time?

          30

          • #
            Memoryvault

            What sort of reaction did you expect when equate the previous govt’s actions as a “media beatup” rather than an accurate description of their tyrannical actions?

            You then followed that up by excusing their actions as “clueless” when they were quite obviously, and demonstrably, part of a meticulously planned, coordinated and implemented international effort to impose a form of permanent police state.

            If you don’t want to be accused of making excuses for the Libs-Nats behaviour, then stop making excuses for the Lib-Nats behaviour.

            40

            • #
              James Murphy

              If you took the time to see what I’ve written here previously, I’m certainly no fan of the LNP, nor Labor, nor the Greens, Teals, etc… actually, I cant name any politician who deserves anything more than the basic respect as a fellow human.
              My apparent “defence” of the LNP is all in your head.
              If you are able, how about you consider that there are more factors at work than the ones you mention.

              00

        • #
          el+gordo

          MV you are mixing your memes again, its all about climate change.

          Here we see the modellers explain the cold air outbreak in North America, is it a warming or cooling signal? Don’t forget the mantra, all severe weather is climate change.

          https://climateimpactcompany.com/daily-feature-did-climate-change-cause-the-buffalo-snowstorm-absolutely-2/

          00

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  • #
    another ian

    “POUNCER
    December 28, 2022 at 4:00 pm
    Coral reefs don’t remain bleached. Peter Ridd was right and the UNIPCC and Cook university were wrong. Island nations aren’t sinking beneath rising sea levels. Paul Kench is right and the IPCC- AR 6 is wrong. Malaria is not spreading as mosquitoes and other bugs migrate north. Paul Reiter was right when he rage-quit the UN IPCC over that scary, false, scenario. The polar bear issue, of course, pit Susan Crockford against the IPCC — Crockford was right. Judith Curry came to the Climate Audit blog to straighten out Steve McIntyre’s misperceptions about hurricanes — and left a climate skeptic with a whole new notion about what statistics might apply to her discipline, started her own climate skeptical blog, and later published new peer-reviewed innovative work on “stadium waves” in the atmosphere, which drew personal slurs from the UN-IPCC crowd. Tides and sea levels are not suffering extreme elevations. Nils Axel Mörner is right and the UN-IPCC is wrong. Tree ring averages are not historical thermometers. Abraham J. Wyner is right and Nobel Prize claimant UN-IPCC flunkies Ben Santer, Michael Mann, Bradley, Hughes, etc are — statistically — wrong.

    In every case of which I’m aware, when a “climatologist” invokes a worst-case horror story about the future and impacts of CO2 in the air, an academic who specializes in the impacted discipline comes back and reports the forecast is bunk. The mainstream media, of course, runs the disaster headline from the climate consensus community and ignores the expert on coral, or atolls, or sea level, or polar bears, or hurricanes, or satellite temperature sensors, or weather balloons, or tree-ring dendro-chronology, or statistics, or a child’s experience of snowfall in England or the economics of wind turbines …”

    https://noconsensus.wordpress.com/2022/12/28/santer-clause-wanes-shakespearean/#comment-297862

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    another ian

    Another Pacific sea surface temperature site

    https://weather.gc.ca/saisons/animation_e.html?id=year&bc=sea

    10

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    Environment Sceptic

    I had said in a previous comment that there is enough material in some new studies and discussions to keep me busy fact checking for weeks if not months. In agreement with “another ian” that this is starting to make much better sense.

    The author of a recent article writes before starting, “Do me a favor and pour yourself a drink, you’ll need it by the end of this article.”

    Hopefully this is the end of the road for many of us so we can relax and say, oke dokes this is a general conclusion so we can move on without a new change or discovery or the like. If what is now being observed and talked about with respect to IgG4 is true, then it might be possible to come in for a landing instead of orbiting some unknown planet with hard to predict conclusions.

    https://www.rintrah.nl/the-trainwreck-of-all-trainwrecks-billions-of-people-stuck-with-a-broken-immune-response/

    30

    • #
      David Maddison

      Is the covid “vaccine” damage to the immune system permanent or will it eventually recover?

      30

      • #
        Environment Sceptic

        Your guess is as good as mine David. Like i said, this new information or angle is going keep me fact checking and researching for weeks or months, if the findings are firm. And they will also finally wrap this vaccine saga up. So many of the knowledgeable scientists immunologists will have some updating and catching up to do.

        I suspect this is just an ordinary example in day to day science where the science is never settled and a new findings come along. So far at least we can know water is always wet, that is unless it is frozen. And then it can be quite dry 🙂

        10

    • #

      I’m curious if there is anybody out there to stop that insqnity called “vaccination” !!

      20

  • #
    John Connor II

    British Police Have Failed To Solve 1,145,254 Thefts & Burglaries: Labour

    Police forces in England and Wales were unable to solve 1,145,254 thefts and burglaries in the year ending in June 2022, according to an analysis by the Labour Party.

    The shadow home secretary, Yvette Cooper, said domestic burglaries cost victims an average of £1,400 and helped to drive up insurance premiums for everyone.

    She told The Telegraph: “This is disgraceful. Theft and burglary are awful crimes and should be properly investigated, not just left for the victims to make an insurance claim.”

    ‘No Plan’
    Criticising Home Secretary Suella Braverman, Cooper said: “The Home Secretary has no plan to turn this around.”

    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/british-police-have-failed-solve-1145254-thefts-burglaries-labour

    C’mon now – nasty tweets are FAR more important than serious crime. Honestly…
    Just like Oz – let’s waste police resources to book someone doing 61km/h in a 60 zone, rather than REAL crime. Statistically, most accidents occur below 60km/h, and if people weren’t looking at the passenger while conversing or playing with their phones while driving, accidents would plummet, so don’t bother with the predictable reply.
    Priorities…

    40

  • #
    David Maddison

    We have already discussed “15 min cities”.

    This YouTuber, David Kurten, discusses the latest evil WEF propaganda video.

    Naturally, Australian “leaders” being fanatical followers of the WEF, we get a mention with Melbourne.

    There are strong anti-freedom elements to these 15 minute city ideas. Naturally. Why else would they be policies of the WEF?

    David Kurten does a good job discussing the issues.

    https://youtu.be/b0ybH5DPHMU 11 mins

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    David Maddison

    Japan claims 415 covid deaths in 24 hrs.

    https://youtu.be/0SAHd67NQ4w (1 min 46 sec)

    But were they deaths “with” covid or “because” of covid?

    What’s going on?

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      Environment Sceptic

      Could it be the recently discovered IgG4 effect?

      Or something completely different like……..The Andromeda Strain (film)??

      “a team of scientists who investigate a deadly organism of extraterrestrial origin”

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    David Maddison

    Latest scary story.

    Brain eating amoeba in South Korea.

    It is not new and was first discovered in the US in 1937.

    https://www.wionews.com/science/skorea-reports-first-death-by-naegleria-fowleri-heres-all-you-need-to-know-about-the-brain-eating-amoeba-547004

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    David Maddison

    Remember the serial killer Charles Sobhraj? He has been released from prison.

    https://youtu.be/YJXzBiVOW-U

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    Environment Sceptic

    This morning i started doing a google search to find out more and used this parameter “igg4 covid vaccine” in the search bar.

    The very first result was “111,000 results”, or as i usually say on these occasions, “one hundred and eleventy eleven thousand results”. I will be monitoring this daily.

    There very possibly may be an avalanche of studies concerning this. The first google result is actually so far a very recent ‘Google featured snippet’ in the link below and was featured by the author at the website rintrah in my comment chronologically above this one..

    “Class switch towards non-inflammatory, spike-specific IgG4 antibodies after repeated SARS-CoV-2 mRNA vaccination”
    https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciimmunol.ade2798

    I had a drink after looking at this yesterday evening as suggested by the author in the link of my comment above this one and was up early this morning to have a closer look. What do you think?? I suspect this is ultra massive, and well it was and still is for me….my entire orbit has changed as if over a couple of days.

    https://www.science.org/cms/10.1126/sciimmunol.ade2798/asset/0120550c-c62d-48bf-ab5a-81688ec78d7b/assets/images/large/sciimmunol.ade2798-f1.jpg

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    THE WRONG ANTIBODY

    Most vaccine recipients are victims. They were manipulated or coerced into taking something without informed consent, a drug pushed by reassuring government agencies, agencies they had every reason to trust, because they paid good tax money to over-fund those agencies and handsomely reward the bureaucrats running them.

    We need to both help the victims as well as bring accountability to the culpable.

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    Of course, contrary comments to the IgG4 paper appear, like this:
    The immunological mechanism of action for lost immunity, a shift to tolerance and autoimmunity from the shots

    If you want some proof to show pro-COVID shot nay-sayers that these shots are detrimental to normal functioning immune responses, read them this. Before I get into this paper that should stop the presses and provide a one-way ticket for a lot of people to prison for the rest of their lives (as a best punishment), I refer to an earlier article that I wrote on immunological tolerance. I wrote this piece on July 10th, 2022, and now this group, who I may add have NO CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, have confirmed a mechanism of action of spike tolerance and so yes, the spike protein might be capable of destroying tolerance itself.

    Don’t ask me it that’s all correct…
    …or I compeltely misunderstood the article

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      Environment Sceptic

      A bit of pollen, or a potential allergen like bee venom and the IgG4 can do wonders. The difference is that bee pollen and a nip of bee venom does not replicate and so the damage is not ongoing.

      On the other hand, the spike production by mRNA gene therapy is ongoing and so by the third shot, all the immune system can do is produce IgG4 thus the immune system is partially destroyed. I am pretty sure she did not mean the spike from an infection of sars covid does this.

      I would also add that Jessica did write this commentary only a few hours ago as an emergency and she says she would have preferred to have a break. If there are any syntax errors, i am fine with that and can overlook them. I am sure her follow up commentary will be well described.

      In saying that, i can kind of see where you are coming from Krishna G.

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    robert rosicka

    Biden has just given a brief statement on the passing of Pele , “ He was the best quarterback that baseball ever had .

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