JoNova
A science presenter, writer, speaker & former TV host; author of The Skeptic's Handbook (over 200,000 copies distributed & available in 15 languages).
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Statistics
Recording audio is surprisingly similar to recording the tiny voltage changes from a resistance thermometer. Although to reproduce temperature changes that occur in the order of seconds means that the game of join the dots requires less data points for accurate reproduction. The minimum number of dots to join is the amount required to identify and remove outliers from the known and predictable rates of change. Enter Mike Oldfield’s tubular Bells.
This popular 1973 album is what made Richard Branson’s Virgin records. There is an unintentional hidden extra encoded into it. Also found on other works of Mike Oldfield as well as on Genesis’, Nazareth and Cat Stevens albums. “VVV GBR”, a recording of morse code. The call sign from a VLF radio transmitter 37 miles from the recording studio.
It was found years later by Gerhard Kircher in Austria. His words about it from a web archive site:
“I was testing my prototype spectrum analyzer program I had written for Linux to do some natural radio work. I was in need of some test input so I grabbed my “Tubular Bells” CD. When I started up the program I was already listening for a while. I was quite surprised to see that horizontal line in the time-frequency display …”
https://archive.vn/HPVHg#selection-155.1-155.685
Listen to it here. In this 12 year old video by a “Roberto Zinelli”. You can watch him filter out the 16 KHz carrier and apply a BFO with software as per normal hardware CW / SSB reception methods to listen to the beat.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b1g_wJQKihc
This is quiet different to the artists who put such sounds in deliberately. For those the tone is already created. There is no need of a filter and BFO. Like this:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eOjAzI5zALo
50
More info about the transmitter and the accidentally included signal
https://madpsy.uk/link-between-the-soundtrack-of-the-exorcist-and-amateur-radio/
40
Thanks for sharing that ! Will have a look at my Tangerine Dream CDs/LPs… 😀
30
“Recorded at The Manor” Tick.
While you do think about this. The CD that was used is recorded at a rate of 44,100 samples per second making it easy to identify the 16KHz signal and separate it out to either be removed or in this case deliberately listened to. Better if it was not there in the first place than needing to remove it. Sampling at a slower rate would still have recorded parts of it and it would not be as easy to identify then extract or remove.
For audio, rates of change below 20Hz and above 20KHz can be removed because our ears can’t hear them. For temperature measurement slow signals need to be kept. Signals above the rate at which a glass thermometer can change should be removed or prevented before sampling if trends are to be calculated back to glass thermometers. Any filter in the system be it analogue or digital needs to be after the cable run between the thermometer and the data logger. A thermal filter at the thermometer is useless for removing signals that get in after that point. The rate a glass thermometer can change varies with humidity and wind speed to complicate the issue. Using an average filter time can’t be the same because of this variation.
20
Sliggy, ..are you suggesting that the BOM may not be processing their raw data correctly to eliminate outliers ? 👍🙄
20
Bom are in the poo at the moment for failing to forecast the deluge in QLD , apparently one of their models did predict possible totals close to what actually fell but they held off on it even when it because more than just a chance .
30
Their efforts in 2022 with floods around Townsville were no better.
30
Chad Sorry for slow reply. Very long day.
“are you suggesting that the BOM may not be processing their raw data correctly to eliminate outliers ?”
Oh it is much worse than that. They select the most believable outliers and delete the good data without averaging it to produce inaccurate junk with a raised maximum and lowered minimum. That is an increased diurnal range with lowered accuracy. It’s no suggestion. It is clear as crystal in their documentation that they muffed it.
20
Christmas… Santa is back…
Watch out he’s beyond being pissed now too.
Drugged up kids.
Oh! You better watch out,
You better not cry,
You better not pout,
I’m telling you why,
Santa Claus is coming to kick your ass.
He’s making a list checkin it twice,
He’s gonna find out whos naughty or nice,
Santa Claus is coming to kick your ass.
He sees you when you’re sleeping,
He knows when you’re awake,
He knows when you’ve been bad or good,
So be good for goodness sake!
Oh! You better watch out,
You better not cry,
You better not pout,
I’m telling you why,
Santa Claus is coming to kick your ass.
He sees you when you’re sleeping,
He knows when you’re awake,
He knows when you’ve been bad or good,
So be good for goodness sake!
Oh! You better watch out,
You better not cry,
You better not pout,
I’m telling you why,
Santa Claus is coming to kick your ass.
He’s making a list checkin it twice,
He’s gonna find out whos naughty or nice,
Santa Claus is coming to town,
He sees you when you’re sleeping,
He knows when you’re awake,
He knows when you’ve been bad or good,
So be good for goodness sake!
Oh! You better watch out,
You better not cry,
You better not pout,
I’m telling you why,
Santa Claus is coming to kick your ass.
(Ate his Deer for protein and buffed up on steroids)
(He ain’t that fat, jolly white guy anymore… along with a new string of Dears.)
20
Hallelujah for irreverent Christmas humour 🎶
10
Here is something else that I found absolutely hilarious!
This scene from this movie so much represents our current politicians as they impose crap on it’s citizens.
https://youtu.be/Q0ZEmLosVXE?si=XSEn4Zgpp2VwqK5Y
From my perspective, it was suicide… technically…
10
More rain in Australia’s north.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mtpw2/product.php?color_type=tpw_nrl_colors&prod=ausf×pan=24hrs&anim=html5
20
More snow in Australia’s south 😲 as cold front licks parts of Tasmania…
Take yer pick, BoM is offering odds on 1,100 1,200 and 1,500 metres, upscaled from yesterday’s generic 1,000m. Places in NSW to ‘plunge’ from 30s down to overnight teens as southerly drifter (different from a buster) drags cooler air north. Little River Band must be making $millions off their theme song: Time For [another?] Cool Change.
Then again it could be our Prime Muppet (PM Luxon) who’s flying into Canberra today to meet your Muppet to have a chin-wag and how’s yer father and SMILE & WAVE for the cameras… sumpfink about shecurity of orcas and their drones…
50
To Sydney actually. Despite all the work done in the 1890’s, one state capital city has become our (unwanted to most of us) de facto national capital.
40
True that: Sydney tomorrow, my malinformation*. So not even an official welcome to the big house on the hill, just a flying visit for lunch by the harbour (if he makes it – the Govt’s personal 757 jet keeps breaking down… maybe 1st-class commercial?).
20
The temperature here in country Vic has dropped during the morning. There was a roll of thunder, a good wind gust and rain. Temp now 15C, pressure c. 1200mb. Yesterday temp max was 26C, previous day was 29C…what’s happened to the boiling? It has been humid, which I dislike, and the bushflies have been really irritating.
40
I doubt the surface pressure reached that high value at the end of the Cretaceous period.
20
1020hpa??
10
Low pressure trough squeezed by two strong high pressures.
https://classic.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-230.02,-26.11,1644/loc=150.336,-45.813
10
1024 and 1025mb respectively – hardly strong anticyclones.
20
Thanks, what is regarded as strong?
10
Do vegetarians fart and belch more than the rest of us?
30
Does verbal diarrhoea count??
40
Obviously, being a displaced Brit, I follow the goings-on of the ‘government’ of my domicile of birth. Needless to say and as most on here would know, it suffers under the growing tide of globalist, progressive leftism, just like Australia and elsewhere.
So my interest was piqued when I read about one Conservative MP called Miriam Cates, who seems (I choose that word carefully having been disappointed so many times) to be genuinely conservative. She has recently criticised the European Convention on Human Rights, attacked cultural Marxists in the public service and made clear her arguments against militant transgenderism. She also goes to church. Fetch the smelling salts!
So inevitably she is a target for leftists in media and public service institutions. Bank on cue, the UK’s Parliamentary Standards Commission, another attack dog controlled by the Left which is supposed to be apolitical, has announced that it is investigating Ms. Cates for bringing parliament into disrepute, though we don’t know why yet.
This is of course outrageous, not just because it is so obviously a carefully-timed hit job, but because the Parliamentary Standards Commission cares so little that we know it is heavily biased. So far, the commission has ‘investigated’ eight MPs, all of them on the Right, not a single one on the Left.
As Mark Steyn would say, “Why are we acting like everything is normal?”
80
An unoriginal page out of the US Dems anti-Trump playbook??
00
Some years ago, I wrote to the New York Times on a particular issue so ended up on their mailing list.
In the past year I have had numerous offers to take up their daily email subscription. It has been the regular “best offer” for $1/day for the first year for a few months now.
This has a note of desperation so I took a look at circulation:
https://www.statista.com/statistics/273503/average-paid-weekday-circulation-of-the-new-york-times/
The print circulation has halved since 2014 when they removed the online numbers that were shown in the three previous years.
With regard profitability. I looked at a few annual reports:
https://www.nytco.com/investors/annual-reports/
Profit last year was $202M. That was down from $268M in 2021. In 2007, profit was $227M. So not much increase over a couple of decades. Not keeping up with inflation.
Share price bottomed at $3.85 during the GFC. The Trump years were good with share price increasing 5-fold from $11 to $54 in 2020. It peaked in 2021 at $54.26 and now down to $46.52.
https://duckduckgo.com/?q=new+yory+time+share+price&t=osx&ia=web
You would think that the NYT should be a strong supporter of Trump given how their fortunes faired under his presidency. Maybe they get a lot of value from providing solice to the woke folk of New York during the tough times of a GOP presidency.
40
NYT was proNazi long after they should have known better. They are evil.
30
IIRC also had a “leaning towards Lenin” and Stalin
00
One third of cars sold in China are EV,s ?
The fire rate is less than ICE,s according to https://www.cjoglobal.com/2023/08/08/how-many-ev-car-fires-are-there-a-year/#:~:text=In%202019%2C%20based%20on%20national,probability%20for%20gasoline%2Dpowered%20vehicles.
Is this all fake?
30
Probably not but the raw stats don’t mention severity.
Perception matters. We have “all” parked our cars under our houses and I doubt anyone can remember someone losing their house because the car caught fire spontaneously. We CAN remember one car carrier being lost and another suffering bad damage and, rightly or wrongly, we blame EVs.
Perception matters. The alarmists can no more dispel the perception that EVs are a fire hazard than we sceptics can dispel their belief that we are all dead, that only the date is up for debate.
10
Found your cars for you!
They are piling up as there is an incentive to out produce and destroy the car industry in other nations. Same thing has happened to washing machines. photovoltaic cells etc: Simple strategy only someone pays. They are called slaves.
10
The track record of Chinese Statistics. (Covid ?) would suggest YES !
10
Retracted NZ Study Proved HPV Vaccine “Reduced Preterm Births” – By INVERTING THE DATA
A study by New Zealand’s Beverley Lawton et al. “proved” that receipt of the HPV vaccine reduced preterm births.
However, when statistical sleuths questioned the data, the study was retracted, as it turned out that the findings were inverted.
interpretation of the odds ratio meaning that instead of HPV vaccination potentially being protective, there may be an associated increased risk of preterm delivery.
Then, backpedaling started:
The authors believe that an increased risk of preterm delivery is unlikely and not consistent with the evidence to date. Further, the authors have not been able to access the original source data as per protocol to check the data validity.
The source was not some rogue database administrator; the NZ Ministry of Health provided the data.
When study authors admitted that their “inverted findings” accidentally proved that the HPV vaccine increased early preterm births, NZ MOH refused to provide that data again for reanalysis. I guess, the NZ government frowns upon questioning vaccines, truth be damned.
One of the co-authors blamed an unspecified “stats PhD candidate” for the error.
The study’s lead author, who also initiated it, Prof. Beverley Lawton, hid that she is financially sponsored by the rights holder to the vaccine from editors and reviewers.
https://www.igor-chudov.com/p/retracted-nz-study-proved-hpv-vaccine
How do they all sleep at night, knowing their crimes.
90
They sleep very nicely.
One sleeps in the Governor’s Mansion on Fernberg Road.
Another is doing well analysing how effective his mission was
Talk about a sickness!
20
As in Australia, so in New Zealand.
GHunt and the Queensland Glitterati leading that way with a solid display of elitism .
00
Well spotted.
You could say it’s almost unbelievable but hey, the converse of most government sponsored statistics is often the inverse of the original and subject to the consideration of the movement of gold bars on a slippery inclined plane.
Leadership??
10
Tuesday ejuksyshun: Old school bomb targetting was difficult
https://64.media.tumblr.com/e56e39b815346e828d3f76d127543bfe/58a6b2ae7c172950-5f/s1280x1920/59f1c18bb7c9cbdda3e6558e40ecb63c73e538e3.jpg
Bond would just open the plane door and throw it out.😎
10
Xmas gift idea for the kids: a water pistol
https://va.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_s5utwhogpu1w5pr9j.mp4
Oh to have that as a kid. Things have come a long way.
30
All powered by a lithium ion battery?
00
Thoughts for the day:
If diversity is strength, then why do we need lower standards?
I don’t share my thoughts thinking it will change the minds of those who think differently.
I share my thoughts to show those that think like me that they’re not alone.
Frustration is knowing that the agenda is not hidden any more but that the sheep are still obeying.
“You can’t convince a believer of anything; for their belief is not based on evidence, it’s based on a deep seated need to believe.”
– Carl Sagan
70
The BoM make a claim that their ACCESS climate model is useful.
I checked the rainfall forecast for the model for December 2023. You will find it here:
http://www.bom.gov.au/jsp/sco/archive/index.jsp?map=rain&outlook=probmedian&period=season1&year=2023&month=11&day=30
The only region with a slightly higher than average chance of getting higher than average rainfall is a small region in South Australia.
The odds of FNQ getting above average rainfall was less than 40%.
So here we are just past mid December and:
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-12-18/record-rainfall-and-dangerous-flash-flooding-hits-fnq/103242586
So in what way are forecasts from the BoM ACCESS climate model USEFUL?
IF anyone actually takes the BoM forecasts seriously, they are acting foolishly. This crowd needs a dramatic reduction in their funding to focus on doing better forecasts and stop prognosticating on the woke “global warming” nonsense.
70
Maybe I’m the Devil’s Advocate here but BOM should not be pilloried for not KNOWING how much rain would fall in FNQ.
Cyclones decay into rain depressions with the emphasis on “rain”. Just how much is unknowable but the various algorithms had the low crossing the Cape into the Gulf. They were not alone in this. If this had happened there would have been a day or two of rain, some local flooding with temporary road closures, we’ve seen it all before but it parked so it rained and it rained, all in the one spot.
I just checked the Burdekin Falls Dam level and it hasn’t increased so the rain didn’t even extend into the western Tablelands it was so limited. Our gutters didn’t run in Townsville and I’ll probably be watering again tomorrow.
And another thing: BOM already overhypes and exaggerates everything, please don’t force them to wind the amp up to 11.
41
The question remains – in what way are the BoM forecasts useful?
The ACCESS climate model has Australia temperature increasing from 1980 to present by 1.5C. The GHCN temperature record shows near flat trend over the same period.
The BoM are strong supporters of the global warming meme and their useless model reflects their belief rather than anything related to reality. The modellers and their model do a great disservice to all Australians by hyping global warming and all the waste that entails.
If it is not dry then it could be wet if it is more than average. There is a solid forecast as useful as what the BoM offers.
10
They are not, but that is a given for me. I guess I’m surprised that they are taken as seriously as they are. I do find their cyclone tracking to be useful though.
00
Hanrahan they had a model which was pointing to extremely high rainfall and had a high confidence level they sat on it till 9pm , by the time most folks seen the updated report was the next day when SMS warnings were issued but too late the deluge was already there .
Just managed to get back onto the indigo Jones faceache page and this was predicted before the cyclone hit so Bom with their billion dollar system missed it .
10
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/soi/
00
the long paddock
in British English
Australian informal
a stockroute or roadside area offering feed to sheep and cattle in dry times
10
Narrabri bushfire is out of control.
https://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/nsw-fires-generate-thunderstorm-and-1500-km-smoke-plume/1687431
00
Still [Severe Heatwave Watch] here, now 25 deg C but did reach 30 deg C earlier.
00
Cyberattack paralyzes gas stations across Iran
Nearly 70 percent of Iran’s gas stations went out of service yesterday following possible sabotage — a reference to cyberattacks, Iranian state TV reported.
Iran’s petrol stations nationwide have been disrupted by a cyberattack, according to Iranian officials, who have placed blame on a hacking group linked to Israel, Iranian and Israeli media report.
It is unclear how many petrol stations have been affected in the attack, with the Iranian oil minister saying earlier on Monday that some 70% had been disrupted, but later noting that 1,650 out of 3,800 petrol stations had been attacked. Iran is blaming a hacking group that goes by the name of “Predatory Sparrow” (Gonjeshke Darande), which issued a Telegram statement saying that the attack was “carried out in a controlled manner to avoid potential damage to emergency services”. The stated reason for the attack was “in response to the aggression of the Islamic Republic and its proxies in the region”.
https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Mass-Cyber-Attack-on-Iranian-Gas-Stations-Claimed-by-Israeli-Group.html
Snap.
00
Cry me a river.
00
The world’s first human brain-scale supercomputer will go live next year
Using just 20 watts of power, the human brain is capable of processing the equivalent of an exaflop — or a billion-billion mathematical operations per second.
Now, researchers in Australia are building what will be the world’s first supercomputer that can simulate networks at this scale.
The supercomputer, known as DeepSouth, is being developed by Western Sydney University.
When it goes online next year, it will be capable of 228 trillion synaptic operations per second, which rivals the estimated rate of operations in the human brain.
If researchers can work this out, they could someday create a cyborg brain vastly more powerful than our own. The work could also revolutionize our understanding of how our brains work.
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2408015-supercomputer-that-simulates-entire-human-brain-will-switch-on-in-2024/
Then shrink it from room sized to chicken sized. 😎
10
And Dr Bill Williams of CSIRO was known to add –
“And construct it with totally unskilled labour”
00
AW: Never let a crisis go to waste: Why there’s nothing normal about the ‘new normal’.
10
Here’s how much the cost of Christmas lunch has gone up in the past few years
While the rate of increase has started to slow this year, Australians are now paying 16 per cent more for goods and services than they were in December 2019 before COVID hit.
That means the traditional Christmas lunch, which is often the only time many spend big on expensive foods, costs a lot more than it did even two years ago.
We crunched the numbers and they showed that for a traditional family lunch of turkey with all the trimmings, plus ham would cost $192.
Our festive menu includes 1 kilogram of prawns, a 3.8kg turkey, a 4.5kg smoked half leg of ham, potatoes, carrots, parsnips and Brussels sprouts.
For dessert, we’re also buying Christmas pudding and pavlova with cream and getting bottles of white and sparkling wine to wash it all down, before rounding it off with Camembert cheese.
The meal would feed about eight with leftovers and is based on the average price of everything from shopping at Coles, Aldi or Woolworths.
https://ndh.org.au/news/how-much-cost-of-christmas-lunch-has-gone-up/
Tip: talk politics, climate and sudden deaths before xmas to reduce the number of people you have cater to.
BBQ all clean, and raring to go! Gourmet delicasies lined up.
A Xmas lunch I was invited to (all expenses paid 😎) a few years ago for 4 people was around $800, but will have to cut back on food, not grog, this year.
Maybe some bugs and Bollinger? 😆
20
Thunderstorms in Australia.
https://i.ibb.co/S3DXjxT/archive-7-image.png
10
More unravelling of the Peking Pox –
https://twitter.com/themarketswork/status/1736883680642248808
https://www.smalldeadanimals.com/2023/12/19/december-19-2023-reader-tips/#comment-1841950
10
FWIW
“‘Misleading’: Red State AG Slaps BlackRock with Lawsuit for Allegedly Harming Consumers”
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2023/12/18/misleading-red-state-ag-slaps-blackrock-with-lawsuit-for-allegedly-harming-consumers/
00
Albo’s ‘Honest’ Christmas message
00
With the banning of coal Santa Claus has a problem
https://img.patriotpost.us/01HHYBKZA3QF2GQPQHCJJJ7ETN.jpeg?w=1024&dpr=2&q=50
10